The first, third and final round give Kerry a wide berth
in all critical swing states. The second round put Kerry
ahead in Ohio and Florida, but only by a one point margin.
The latest national exit polls puts Kerry up 51-48 percent
nationally. Exit polls typically favor Republicans
in early voting, as Republicans by-and-large tend
to vote earlier in the day. This may spell bad news
for President Bush, though it’s also important
to consider that early polls are routinely unreliable.
All of the polls put Kerry ahead in Florida, Ohio,
and New Mexico. The two for which polling was available
for other states had Kerry ahead in Pennsylvania,
Minnesota and Wisconsin. In the polls received, Bush
leads in Colorado, Louisiana and Arizona. Iowa is
a tie.
Here are the first exit polls, confirmed from sources
in both parties, as leaked to RAW STORY. The first
number is the percentage of voters supporting Kerry,
the second are those supporting Bush.
AZ 45-55
CO 48-51
LA 42-57
MI 51-48
WI 52-48
PA 60-40
OH 52-48
FL 51-48
MICH 51-47
NM 50-48
MINN 58-40
WISC 52-43
IOWA 49-49
NH 57-41
Here are the second polls:
U.S.: 50-49
FL: 50-49
OH: 50-49
CO: 48-50
NM: 50-48
Here are the third polls:
Confirmed:
Florida:
50/49 - KERRY
Ohio: 50/49 - KERRY
Michigan: 51/47 - KERRY
Pennsylvania: 54/45 - KERRY
Wisconsin: 51/46- KERRY
Minnesota: 58/40 - KERRY
New Mexico: 50/48 - KERRY
Colorado: 46/53 - BUSH
North Carolina: 49/51 - BUSH
Unconfirmed:
IA: 50/48 - KERRY
NH: 58/41 - KERRY
ME: 55/44 - KERRY
NV: 48/49 - BUSH
AR: 45/54 - BUSH
And the final 6 p.m. exits:
PA 53 46
FL 51 49
NC 48 52
OH 51 49
MO 46 54
AK 47 53
MI 51 47
NM 50 49
LA 43 56
CO 48 51
AZ 45 55
MN 54 44
WI 52 47
IA 49 49
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