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The "Axis of Evil" |
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September 2000 |
The Project for the New American Century issues
"Rebuilding America's Defenses" as a blueprint for a potential Bush
administration. This paper states, "The United States has for decades
sought to play a more permanent role in Gulf regional security. While the
unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the immediate justification, the need
for a substantial American force presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of
the regime of Saddam Hussein." |
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December 9, 2001 |
Michael Ledeen, consulting for the Department of Defense, along with DOD employees Harold Rhode and Larry Franklin, meets in Rome with Iran Contra arms dealer Manucher Ghorbanifar, and other Iranians. Ledeen, who is only present for one of the meetings, has told Raw Story that the meetings were authorized by then-Deputy National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley and then-National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice. He also stated that the meetings had to do with Iranian support for the opposition to US forces in Afghanistan. According to Ghorbanifar, however, the discussions involved regime change in Iran. |
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early 2002 |
Michael Ledeen and Morris Amitay form the Coalition for Democracy in Iran, which is supported by former CIA director James Woolsey, and leading neo-conservative Frank Gaffney, among others. |
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January 29, 2002 |
Bush's State of the Union Address includes Iraq, Iran, and North Korea in the "Axis of Evil" |
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February 2, 2002 |
Time Magazine reports that Iran may have been helping Taliban and al-Qaeda members escape from Afghanistan. Iran denies it. |
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February 26, 2002 |
Joseph Wilson visits Niger. According to a 2004 report by the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, "The intelligence report also said that Niger's former Minister for Energy and Mines [redacted]. Mai Manga, stated that there were no sales outside of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) channels since the mid-1980s. He knew of no contracts signed between Niger and any rogue states for the sale of uranium. He said that an Iranian delegation was interested in purchasing 400 tons of yellowcake from Niger in 1998, but said that no contract was ever signed with Iran." |
Washington Note |
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The Focus Intensifies on Iran's Nuclear Program, August 2002 – February 2003 |
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August 5, 2002 |
Steve Rosen of the American Israel Public Affairs
Committee (AIPAC) asks DOD employee A (possibly Doug Feith, then
Undersecretary of Defense Policy, or Harold Rhode) for the name of someone
with expertise on Iran and is directed to Larry Franklin. On August 15,
Franklin begins a series of meetings with Naor Gilon, then political
officer at the Israeli Embassy. |
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mid-August 2002 |
The National Council of Resistance of Iran (which considers itself an Iranian government in exile, and of which MEK is the dominant member) holds a press conference in Washington and states that Iran has a secret nuclear facility at Natanz, due for completion in 2003. |
Global
Security |
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October 2002 - January 2003 |
Iran conducting uranium laser enrichment experiments. (Note that this does not mean a WMD program.) |
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February 10, 2003 |
Iran acknowledges that it is building a nuclear energy facility at Natanz as part of a nuclear energy program. |
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February 12, 2003 |
Larry Franklin and DoD employee B meet with Rosen and Weissman of AIPAC for the first of a series of meetings concerning US policy towards Iran |
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February 21, 2003 |
IAEA inspectors (including El Baradei) visit Iran. They are shocked to find that the design of the centrifuges is of Pakistani origin. Pakistan is an ally of the United States in the War on Terror. |
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The Push for Action at the Onset of the Iraq War, February - June 2003 |
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February 24, 2003 |
Neocon analyst Yossef Bodansky claims: |
Internet Archive (Global Information System) |
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March 7, 2003 |
Rep. Curt Weldon (R-PA) first hears about "Ali" (former Iranian minister Fereidoun Mahdavi), an associate of Manucher Gorbanifar. Some have suggested that the introductions are made via Michael Ledeen, although Ledeen and Weldon’s spokesperson have both denied the allegations. |
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March 20, 2003 |
Invasion of Iraq. |
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April 15, 2003 |
The US Army permits the Mujahedin-E-Khalq (MEK) in Iraq -- militant Islamo-Maoist opponents of the government in Iran, officially considered terrorists by the US, and formerly supporters of Saddam's regime -- to keep their weapons |
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April 25, 2003 |
Curt Weldon meets with "Ali" in Paris. Ali
claims that Iranian intelligence had stolen enriched uranium from Iraq prior
to the start of the war, smuggling it into Iran. But the CIA determines this
to be a fabrication. |
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April 30, 2003 |
Michael Ledeen tells the JINSA Policy Forum it's time to focus on Iran |
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May 6, 2003 |
Forum on "The Future of Iran" sponsored by the American Enterprise Institute, Hudson Institute, and Foundation for the Defense of Democracies and chaired by Meyrav Wurmser. Participants include Michael Ledeen and Morris Amitay. |
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May 10, 2003 |
The MEK accept a formal cease-fire and are placed under a sort of protective custody by US special forces in Iraq |
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May 12, 2003 |
Editorial by Neocon William Kristol in the Weekly Standard calls for regime change in Iran. |
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May 16, 2003 |
US officials say the May 12 bombings in Saudi Arabia were carried out by al-Qaeda operatives who have taken refuge in Iran |
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May 17, 2003 |
The Forward reports that Neocons and warhawks in the administration have convinced Bush, Cheney, and the Pentagon of the need for regime change in Iran but the State Department remains opposed. It also states that the infamous Office of Special Plans is now gathering intelligence on Iran. |
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May 20, 2003 |
Neocon Daniel Pipes promotes support for the MEK |
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June 3, 2003 |
Larry Franklin and Naor Gilon meet to discuss a person (who may be Judy Miller), her thoughts on Iran's nuclear program, and certain charity efforts, which may refer to Miller's work with Rhode and Chalabi on the Iraqi Jewish Archive. |
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June 2003 |
Rhode and Ghorbanifar meet in Paris. According to the Jerusalem Post, the purpose of the meeting was to undermine any deal for Iran to hand over several high-ranking al-Qaeda members in exchange for the US either handing over MEK members and/or cutting off its support of MEK. More generally, the intent is to worsen US-Iran relations. This meeting is said to have led directly to the FBI investigation of Franklin and AIPAC. |
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June 15, 2003 |
George Bush endorses pro-democracy student demonstrations in Iran that have been going on for the previous five days. |
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June 16, 2003 |
El Baradei calls on Iran to allow more intrusive inspections. Iran says its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes and accuses the US of stirring up the IAEA |
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June 17, 2003 |
French police arrest 165 MEK members at their headquarters near Paris. This comes in the context of both the ongoing student demonstrations and a conflict in the US administration between the Pentagon and the State Department over whether to form an alliance with MEK against the Iranian government. |
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The IAEA Defuses the Situation, July - October 2003 |
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July 6, 2003 |
Joseph Wilson op-ed in the New York Times, "What I Didn't Find in Africa." |
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July 10-13, 2003 |
The IAEA holds technical discussions with Iran and asks for full transparency |
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July 14, 2003 |
CIA covert officer, Valerie Plame Wilson is outed by Robert Novak in alleged retaliation for her husband’s criticism of the Bush administration. Plame Wilson was working on an Iran project at the time of her outing. |
Raw
Story |
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July 2003 |
Israel warns the United States of a heightened insurgency to come in Iraq with support from Iran, but the US rejects Israeli urgings to seal the border. When the insurgency explodes in early August, the Israelis conclude the US is unwilling to confront Iran. |
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July 28, 2003 |
Iran is reported to be holding several top al-Qaeda members |
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August 9-12, 2003 |
IAEA team of technical experts in Iran to inspect sites |
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August 15, 2003 |
Secretary Powell lists the National Council of Resistance of Iran as an alias of MEK, which it still considers a terrorist organization, ordering its US offices closed and its assets frozen. The NCR charges that this is a part of the negotiations for Iran to turn over al-Qaeda operatives under its control and allow IAEA to inspect its nuclear sites. |
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August 26, 2003 |
IAEA reports it has found particles of highly enriched
uranium at Natanz. Iran says the particles must have come in with the
imported centrifuges. |
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October 4, 2003 |
Robert Novak column outing Brewster Jennings, Valerie Plame's front company at the CIA. |
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October 2003 |
Reports emerge of Dr. A.Q. Khan's dealings with Iran. Khan is a notorious black market prolifirator of nuclear weapon components and designs. Brewster Jennings, was in part tracking the Khan network, as well as creating obstacles for Iranian development of WMD from products purchased on the black market. |
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October 21, 2003 |
Iran agrees to accept tougher IAEA inspections |
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October 24, 2003 |
Franklin and Naor Gilin speak on the phone about how work on the US policy towards Iran in which they have been interested seems to have stopped |
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The Quiet Interim |
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December 2003 |
According to Seymour Hersh, by the end of 2003, the Israelis have concluded that the US is incapable of stabilizing Iraq. In response, they began training Kurdish commandos to run operations inside Kurdish areas of Syria and Iran and to spy on Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel is convinced that Iran is on the verge of developing nuclear weapons. |
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After a Year of Quiet, Iran is on the Table Again, September 2004 - September 2005 |
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September 27, 2004 |
President Bush tells Fox News talking head Bill O'Reilly that the US will never let Iran acquire nuclear weapons and that "all options are on the table." |
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October 2004 |
According to former UN weapons inspector, Scott Ritter, the Pentagon presents George Bush at this time with a status report on its plans to have a viable military option for Iran in place by June 2005. |
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January 6, 2005 |
The Iran Freedom Support Act, supporting "a transition to democracy in Iran," is introduced in the House of Representatives. It is introduced in the Senate on February 9. |
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January 20, 2005 |
Vice President Cheney states that Iran is "right at the top of the list" of global trouble spots and hints that Israel might strike to shut down its nuclear program. |
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January 2005 |
National Intelligence Council orders new NIE on Iran. |
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January 2005 |
The Iran Policy Committee is founded, with the objective of promoting regime change in Iran and with a membership dominated by Neocons and defense contractors. It is an active supporter of MEK. |
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April 6, 2005 |
The newly-formed Iran Human Rights and Democracy Caucus in the House of Representatives sponsors a briefing by the Iran Policy Committee promoting support for MEK. A similar briefing follows on May 10. |
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June 12, 2005 |
Bomb blasts in the Iranian city of Ahwaz. According to Raw Story, MEK forces carried out these bombings in hopes of provoking a Sunni insurgency. |
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June 14, 2005 |
Publication of Kenneth Timmerman's Countdown to Crisis:
The Coming Nuclear Showdown with Iran. |
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June 20, 2005 |
Scott Ritter reports that "the US war with Iran has already begun." He says the US is using pilotless drones and also sending MEK members into Iranian territory as special operations forces. Raw Story, in a 2006 article, also reported on the use of MEK in Iran: "The Pentagon is bypassing official US intelligence channels and turning to a dangerous and unruly cast of characters in order to create strife in Iran in preparation for any possible attack, former and current intelligence officials say. "One of the operational assets being used by the Defense Department is a right-wing terrorist organization known as Mujahedeen-e Khalq (MEK), which is being “run” in two southern regional areas of Iran. They are Baluchistan, a Sunni stronghold, and Khuzestan, a Shia region where a series of recent attacks has left many dead and hundreds injured in the last three months." |
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July 20, 2005 |
Rep. Curt Weldon and House Intelligence Committee Chair Peter Hoekstra (R-MI) are reported to have met in Paris the previous week with Manucher Ghorbanifar's associate, "Ali." |
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August 2, 2005 |
The Washington Post reports the leak of a new NIE on Iran assessing they are ten years away from having the ability to make nuclear weapons. |
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September 13, 2005 |
The Washington Post reports that the Bush administration has been trying to convince allies that Iran is on a fast track to obtaining nuclear weapons, using a presentation at odds with the NIE. |
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Pressure for Sanctions and a Possible Attack, December 2005 - May 2006 |
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December 19, 2005 |
President Bush states that Iran cannot be allowed to have the capacity to enrich uranium because it "would lead to a weapons program." |
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early January 2006 |
Plane carrying 11 top commanders of Iran's Revolutionary Guards goes down near the Iraq border. Foul play is suspected, and Iran accuses the US and UK of bringing the plane down through electronic jamming. |
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mid-January 2006 |
Kenneth Timmerman of the Foundation for Democracy in Iran tells Israeli radio he expects a pre-emptive strike on Iran by Israel within 60 days. |
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January 19, 2006 |
A pro-MEK rally in Washington is endorsed by Representatives Tom Tancredo (R-CO), Bob Filner (D-CA), and other members of Congress. |
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February 4, 2006 |
The IAEA votes to report Iran to the Security Council, a step potentially leading to UN sanctions. |
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February 2006 |
Condoleezza Rice asks Congress for an extra $75 million to promote democracy and assist dissidents in Iran, much of it to go to the Voice of America. |
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March 2006 |
An attack said to have been carried out by MEK kills 22 Iranian officials. |
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March 2006 |
The State Department creates an Office of Iranian Affairs,
while the Pentagon creates an Iran Directorate, on orders from Vice President
Cheney, thereby undercutting Negroponte's role as Director of National
Intelligence. |
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March-April 2006 |
The US begins a hard push for a UN resolution that could pave the way for military action against Iran. |
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April 9, 2006 |
The Washington Post reports that "the Bush administration is studying options for military strikes against Iran." |
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April 17, 2006 |
Seymour Hersh reports that "the Bush Administration,
while publicly advocating diplomacy in order to stop Iran from pursuing a
nuclear weapon, has increased clandestine activities inside Iran and
intensified planning for a possible major air attack." He
indicates that the nuclear option is on the table. |
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April 20, 2006 |
Raw Story reports that President Cheney and the Department of Defense have put Manucher Ghorbanifar back on the payroll as an intelligence asset -- with approval from Rep. Pete Hoekstra, chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence -- as part of an attempt to squelch any possible diplomatic resolution with Iran. |
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April 21, 2006 |
Iran shells PJAK positions within Iraqi territory. |
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May 11, 2006 |
Raw Story reports that military assets are beginning to be put in place for an air strike against Iran. The key assets could be in place by June, according to the report. (However, by June tensions appear to have eased for a time.) |
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late spring or early summer 2006 |
Rep. Peter Hoekstra travels to Paris to meet for a second time with Manucher Ghorbanifar's associate "Ali." |
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A Second Wave of Pressure, July 2006 to Present |
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July 14, 2006 |
Israeli incursion into Lebanon, initiating the 2006 Israeli-Lebanese War. |
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August 6, 2006 |
The Sunday Times alleges that Iran has been plotting to obtain large amounts of uranium from the African nation of Congo. |
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August 14, 2006 |
Seymour Hersh reports that the US is watching the Israeli campaign against Lebanon as a possible prelude to an attack on Iran's nuclear installations. |
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August 23, 2006 |
The House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence |
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September 14, 2006 |
The IAEA says that the Hoekstra report contains "erroneous, misleading and unsubstantiated information." |
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September 17, 2006 |
Time Magazine reports that the Navy is deploying minesweepers to the Persian Gulf and is studying the possibility of blockading Iranian oil ports. |
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September 21, 2006 |
Raw Story reports that the Pentagon has moved to second-stage contingency planning for a possible military strike against Iran. |
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September 30, 2006 |
The Iran Freedom Support Act is signed into law. |
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early fall 2006 |
According to Seymour Hersh, a CIA assessment based on high-tech monitoring finds no evidence of an Iranian nuclear weapons program. The White House dismisses the findings but are concerned that they might be incorporated into a forthcoming National Intelligence Estimate. |
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October 1, 2006 |
The Sunday Times reports that Director of National Intelligence Negroponte has cautioned President Bush against the use of force with regard to Iran. |
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October 1, 2006 |
It becomes apparent that the US is building up its naval forces in the Persian Gulf region. Pentagon officials confirm such a buildup on December 19. |
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November 2006 |
Joshua Muravchik (a co-founder in 1995 of the Foundation for Democracy in Iran) writes, "Make no mistake: President Bush will need to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities before leaving office," and adds that his fellow Neocons "need to pave the way intellectually now and be prepared to defend the action when it comes." |
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November 13, 2006 |
Laura Rozen reports on the formation of the Iran Enterprise Institute, dedicated to regime change and led by an Iranian exile with dubious credentials. |
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January 9, 2007 |
The US imposes sanctions on a major Iranian bank. |
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January 10, 2007 |
Speech by George W. Bush announcing a "surge" of
troops in Iraq which also states: |
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January 11, 2007 |
The US raids an Iranian diplomatic mission in northern Iran and detains five staff members. |
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