Polls look promising for Senate Democrats
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Thursday June 15, 2006
Democrats are touting six polls released this week thatall brought good news for Senate Democrats and Democratic candidates, RAW STORY has learned.
In New Jersey, incumbent Democrat Robert Menendez looks safer than ever, increasing his lead over Tom Kean Jr. (43%-36% in a Quinnipiac poll). Menendez has led in three prior Quinnipiac polls this year. President Bush's popularity seems to be an issue in the Garden State, where Bush's approval is under 30% and New Jersey voters agree with claims that Kean Jr. is a "George Bush Republican" by a 25-point spread.
Pennsylvania State Treasurer is leading incumbent Republican Rick Santorum in the latest Today's Strategic Vision survey, 49%-40%. Though this is not a record gap in the race by any means, Casey's lead over Santorum has been consistent.
An independent poll conducted for Ohio TV stations this week showed Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown with a 48%-39% lead over Republican incumbent Mike DeWine. This morning, a columnist for the Beacon Journal wrote, "This is beginning to look like the summer of Ohio Republicans' discontent." Of the new low poll numbers for DeWine and GOP Gubernatorial candidate Kenneth Blackwell, he added, "With numbers like that, a race for dog catcher begins to look good."
In Tennessee, Congressman Harold Ford is polling as statistically tied with all three GOP candidates hoping to succeed retiring Senator Bill Frist. Though Ford has not pulled ahead, pollster John Zogby has recently stated that, "Tennessee is a more competitive race than generally given credit for."
In Rhode Island, moderate Republican Lincoln Chafee is taking heat from all sides, in a turn of events seeming to favor Democrats. Should Chafee lose in a primary election, Democratic challenger Sheldon Whitehouse would trounce Cranston mayor Stephen Laffey by 35 points. Should Chafee hold the Republican nomination, results in the general election would be within the margin of error, according to the latest Rassmusen polls.
As always, incumbents who do not enjoy majority leads are still considered vulnerable. However, Democrats are quick to point out that generic ballot polls indicate that Americans want Democrats to take back Congress by a double-digit margin. In fact, 51% of Americans in a recent poll said they "worried about the possibility of Republicans remaining in power."