This may not be the most accurate prediction, but it’s still a lot closer than anyone else got.

Back in Oct. 2008, during an appearance on Real Time with Bill Maher, news anchor Christiane Amanpour predicted that al Qaeda ringleader Osama bin Laden was hiding out “in a nice, comfortable villa in Pakistan.”

“Not a cave,” she said, citing a woman she’d recently spoken to.

Comedian Gary Shandling, appearing with Amanpour on the show, jumped in. “It’s a villa,” he said. “You know it’s a villa. This is what we need. We need to send a woman over there — this is how we find him. You know this, Bill.”

This video is from the Oct. 3, 2008 broadcast of HBO’s Real Time with Bill Maher.