Group A and B Scenarios

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This is sort of my specialty, so hopefully I won’t make any errors, but you see errors in these things all the time, even on official sites, so if I do screw it up let me know in comments and I’ll update. The scenarios are in order from most to least likely. I’d give you odds but then you’d go and gamble and lose and blame me.

Group A

Uruguay/Mexico

This result is so likely that it’s a bit difficult to detail all the different ways it can happen. Suffice it to say this is what happens if none of this other mess I’m about to describe happens.

Uruguay/France
Uruguay WIN + France WIN by total margin of at least 5 goals

Mexico/France
Mexico WIN + France WIN by total margin of at least 6 goals

Uruguay/South Africa
Uruguay WIN + South Africa WIN by a total margin of at least 6 goals

Mexico/South Africa
Mexico WIN + South Africa WIN by a total margin of at least 7 goals

France/South Africa
Royal Bafokeng Stadium HIT BY METEOR

Group B

Argentina/South Korea
Argentina WIN or TIE+ South Korea WIN or TIE
OR
Greece WIN by <3 + South Korea WIN by >1

Argentina/Nigeria
Argentina WIN + Nigeria WIN by >1

Argentina/Greece
Greece WIN + Nigeria WIN or TIE
OR
Greece WIN by >2 + South Korea WIN by <2

South Korea/Greece
Greece WIN by >2 + South Korea WIN by >1

These scenarios look a little wilder than reality, of course; Argentina, South Korea, Mexico and Uruguay are heavy favorites to advance.