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Group F Possibilities

By james
Sunday, June 20, 2010 15:23 EDT
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The current table:

Paraguay 4 pts +2 goal difference
Italy 2 pts 0
New Zealand 2 pts 0
Slovakia 1 pt -2

The possibilities:

  New Zealand win New Zealand/Paraguay draw Paraguay win
Italy win

Italy 5 +1 or better
New Zealand 5 +1 or better
Paraguay 4
Slovakia 1

The team with the greater margin of victory wins the group. If the same margin, the team that scores the most wins the group, if that is level, the group winner is decided by a drawing of lots.

Paraguay 5 +2 goal difference
Italy 5 +1 or better
New Zealand 3

Slovakia 1

Italy needs to win by 3 goals to finish first. If Italy win by 2, it comes down to total goals (Paraguay 3, Italy 2), and if that is level, the drawing of lots.

Paraguay 7
Italy 5
New Zealand 2

Slovakia 1

Italy/Slovakia draw

New Zealand 5

Paraguay 4
Italy 3
Slovakia 2

Paraguay 5
Italy 3
New Zealand 3

Slovakia 2

With three draws, goal difference is level, and both have scored 2 goals so far. The team that scores the most in the draw advances, if both score the same, then a draw of lots decide who advances and who goes home.

Paraguay 7
Italy 3
New Zealand 2

Slovakia 2

Slovakia win

New Zealand 5

Paraguay 4 +1 or worse
Slovakia 4 -1 or better
Italy 2

The combined margin of victory must be 5 or more for Slovakia to pass Paraguay. If it is 4, it is total goals (Paraguay 3 Slovakia 1 presently) and if that is level, Paraguay advances on the head-to-head win.

Paraguay 5
Slovakia 4
New Zealand 3

Italy 2

Paraguay 7
Slovakia 4
Italy 2
New Zealand 2

 
 
 
 
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