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Nate Silver: ‘Prediction is a really important tool, it’s not a game’
Nate Silver made a name for himself with his uncannily accurate predictions of baseball scores and US election results. But some things – from earthquakes to terrorism – even he can’t predict It takes a brave man to bet against the New York Times’ polling guru Nate Silver. The founder…
Nate Silver, Microsoft researcher analyze Oscar voting: ‘they provide for plenty of parallels to political campaigns’
Nate Silver, Microsoft Researcher Analyze the Oscars Nate Silver, famous for applying rigorous statistical methods to U.S. political elections, has focused his predictive powers on a somewhat more lighthearted topic: this weekend’s Academy Awards. “The Oscars, in which the voting franchise is limited to the 6,000 members of the Academy…
Nate Silver to Conan: GOP should take up drug legalization like ‘a rational political party’
In a fascinating long-form interview with late night talk show host Conan O’Brien published online Friday, New York Times pollster wiz Nate Silver said — while wearing a Cookie Monster T-shirt — that a “rational” Republican Party should take up drug legalization, among other issues, if it hopes to stay…
Nate Silver: ‘Politico’ covers politics like sports, but ‘not intelligently at all’
On Friday, in an interview with ESPN radio host Bill Simmons, statistician and polling guru Nate Silver expressed his low regard for the Washington, DC political gossip sheet, Politico. The publication, headed by former Washington Post scribe Jim VanDehei and Time magazine’s Mike Allen, tries to cover politics “like sports,”…
Pres. Obama makes Nate Silver joke while pardoning turkeys
On Wednesday afternoon, freshly returned from his trip to Asia, President Obama pardoned the annual Thanksgiving turkeys and marked the occasion with a joking reference to statistician and poll wizard Nate Silver, author of the blog, FiveThirtyEight. This year, for the first time, the American public voted which of the…
Nate Silver: It’s the numbers, stupid
Nate Silver is a new kind of political superstar. One who actually knows what he’s talking about. In America, punditry has traditionally been about having the right kind of hair or teeth or foaming rightwing views. Silver has none of these. He just has numbers. Lots of them. And, on the…
Election Day Shows How Much Things Are Changing
Election Day! I continue to be a dork who loves it. After what is now years of build-up, you can’t help but be excited. This year is particularly exciting, with FiveThirtyEight upgrading the chances of an Obama win to 91.6%. Which isn’t absolute! As Nate Silver says, Romney’s chance of…
Colbert to Nate Silver: ‘Put your balls on the felt’ and say how you really feel
Monday night on “The Colbert Report,” host Stephen Colbert welcomed New York Times writer and author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail, but Some Don’t, Nate Silver. After reading the book title, Colbert said, “Let me guess. Yours don’t.” “They could,” Silver said, “but we’ll…
Nate Silver to Scarborough: Bet you $1,000 Romney loses
New York Times statistician and Five Thirty Eight blogger Nate Silver has bet MSNBC pundit and host of “Morning Joe,” Joe Scarborough $1,000 that his statistical model holds true and that President Barack Obama wins re-election. According to Atlantic Monthly‘s Atlantic Wire blog, Silver posted the challenge to his Twitter…
Conservative pollster: Nate Silver is wrong because he is ‘thin and effeminate’
Conservative darling Dean Chambers, founder of the website unskewedpolls.com that purports to recalibrate political surveys to rid them of liberal bias, argued that New York Times polling guru Nate Silver cannot be trusted because he is a weak, little girly-man. In a post for Examiner.com, Chambers sought to discredit Silver’s recent…
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