Quantcast
Connect with us

Meet Arthur: First possible tropical storm of the season points to a wet 4th of July

Published

on

By Brian Kahn, Climate Central

It might not look like much now, but a messy storm system off the coast of Florida could put a damper on Fourth of July festivities along the East Coast if it pulls itself together to form the first tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.

Right now the system is a loose collection of thunderstorms sitting about 125 miles off Florida’s east coast. But according to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, it has an 80 percent chance of attaining tropical storm strength within the next 48 hours. The most recent update from NHC said that hurricane hunter aircraft flew a reconnaissance mission to get a better handle on the storm’s strength. They found that it has sustained winds of 30-35 mph, a couple notches below the 39 mph threshold used to define tropical storms.

ADVERTISEMENT

If it does become a tropical storm, it would be dubbed ‘Arthur.’ For now, though, it’s just “possibArthur” according to The Vane.

There are a number of factors that ultimately favor Arthur’s genesis. One is a stretch of warm, hurricane-friendly water from Florida to North Carolina that will help fuel the convection storms needed to attain tropical storm or hurricane status.

Winds moving through the upper atmosphere are also lining up to aid in tropical storm formation. If those winds are too fast, they can tear apart a storm before it even forms. No such winds are currently blowing over the area or even nearby, giving the storm time to get organized.

ADVERTISEMENT

If Tropical Storm Arthur does form, its arrival and potential impacts could create a soggy Fourth of July weekend for millions along the Eastern Seaboard. Most models show the storm moving slowly southwest for the next 24 hours, putting it just off the coast of Florida. However, the storm is then projected to hook north and climb along the East Coast through Saturday.

How close it tracks to the coast will determine whether beachgoers and firework aficionados will get rained out.

Current forecasts indicate that the coastal areas of North Carolina and the Mid-Atlantic could see the heaviest rainfall, picking up as much as 3 inches of precipitation through Sunday. Much of that is forecast to come from the storm. The storm could also bring rain and high surf to New York by the weekend.

ADVERTISEMENT

A precipitation forecast through Sunday, July 6. Much of the precipitation for coastal areas on the East Coast is due to possible Tropical Storm Arthur. Credit: NOAA

A precipitation forecast through Sunday, July 6. Much of the precipitation for coastal areas on the East Coast is due to possible Tropical Storm Arthur.
Credit: NOAA

Hurricane season officially started on June 1. Though it might feel like a month is a long time to pass before the first tropical storm forms, it’s actually right on schedule. On average, the first named tropical storm of the season forms on July 9. And the first hurricane usually occurs on August 10, that according to NHC data from 1966-2009. So this year could be ever-so-slightly ahead of schedule if Arthur forms sometime this week.

ADVERTISEMENT

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is forecasting a near- to slightly below-average hurricane season this year. That’s due in part to the likely rise of El Niño, which creates those wind patterns that can tear apart a storm or prevent one from forming.

Story courtesy of Climate Central


Report typos and corrections to: [email protected].
READ COMMENTS - JOIN THE DISCUSSION
Continue Reading

Breaking Banner

There’s no respite from Trump’s vindictiveness and foolishness

Published

on

As we know, even in the midst of a national emergency, Donald Trump could find time and bandwidth to continue his retribution campaign.

He dismissed Michael Atkinson, the inspector general for the intelligence agencies, for doing “a terrible job,” satisfying his own thirst for vengeance for anyone who actually adhered to law and practice over blind loyalty to Trump himself. Indeed, asked about it the next day, Trump underscored his action by saying, Atkinson “was no Trump supporter, that I can tell you.”

It was an act that we once would have labeled corruption, by Democrats and Republicans – that is using the office for personal purposes – if Congress and too many Americans had not since become inured by so many like instances.

Continue Reading

Breaking Banner

This is how Taiwan and South Korea bucked the global lockdown trend

Published

on

As the coronavirus pandemic sparks global lockdowns, life has continued comparatively unhindered in places like Taiwan, South Korea and Hong Kong after their governments and citizens took decisive early action against the unfolding crisis.

At first glance Taiwan looks like an ideal candidate for the coronavirus. The island of 23 million lies just 180 kilometres (110 miles) off mainland China.

Yet nearly 100 days in, Taiwan has just 376 confirmed cases and five fatalities while restaurants, bars, schools, universities and offices remain open.

The government of President Tsai Ing-wen, whose deputy is an epidemiologist, made tough decisions while the crisis was nascent to stave off the kind of pain now convulsing much of the rest of the world.

Continue Reading
 

Breaking Banner

Republican ex-lawmaker with coronavirus scolds Wisconsin GOP for forcing voters to risk their health

Published

on

On CNN Tuesday, former Rep. Charlie Dent (R-PA), who is himself dealing with a bout of COVID-19, chastised the Wisconsin GOP for doing everything in their power to block the state elections from being moved — and forcing many voters to stand in line and risk exposure to the virus to cast their ballot.

"I have to tell you, here in Pennsylvania we have a Democratic governor and Republican legislature," Dent told host Don Lemon. "They postponed the election here from April 28 until June 2. Without any controversy. Everybody agreed it was the right thing to do and they moved on. I'm surprised Wisconsin took this risk, knowing they don't have to."

Continue Reading
 
 
You need honest news coverage. Help us deliver it. Join Raw Story Investigates for $1. Go ad-free.
close-image