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Top economist slaps down Trump’s victory: You can’t win the nomination with 34 percent

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An economist pointed out on The O’Reilly Factor that while real estate tycoon and GOP candidate Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday night, that doesn’t cement his place as the party’s nominee by any means.

Economist Austan Goolsbee, who served in President Barack Obama’s cabinet and now teaches at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business, pointed out that Trump won the first primary, but failed to win by a majority. Trump received about 35 percent of the vote.

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“You can’t get the nomination with 34 percent,” Goolsbee remarked.

But he added, Trump does have a major advantage.

“There’s a huge advantage when it starts coming to the Super Tuesdays in which we have a series of them, with six, eight, ten primaries on the same day, for somebody who already has national name recognition,” Goolsbee said. “He doesn’t have to build the ground game. These other guys are going to be struggling to try to get their name on the front page or build out field offices and he starts with an advantage there.”

But other candidates, like former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio may still win their own states, Goolsdbee pointed out.

“That’s the recipe for a contested convention,” he said.

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Watch the interview, as posted by Fox News, here:


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Elections 2016

Vietnamese women strive to clear war-era mines

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Inching across a field littered with Vietnam war-era bombs, Ngoc leads an all-women demining team clearing unexploded ordnance that has killed tens of thousands of people -- including her uncle.

"He died in an explosion. I was haunted by memories of him," Le Thi Bich Ngoc tells AFP as she oversees the controlled detonation of a cluster bomb found in a sealed-off site in central Quang Tri province.

More than 6.1 million hectares of land in Vietnam remain blanketed by unexploded munitions -- mainly dropped by US bombers -- decades after the war ended in 1975.

At least 40,000 Vietnamese have since died in related accidents. Victims are often farmers who accidentally trigger explosions, people salvaging scrap metal, or children who mistake bomblets for toys.

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Elections 2016

Chief Justice John Roberts issues New Year’s Eve warning to stand up for democracy

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In a progressive welcoming move, Chief Justice John Roberts issued his New Year's Eve annual report urging his fellow federal judges to stand up for democracy.

"In our age, when social media can instantly spread rumor and false information on a grand scale, the public's need to understand our government, and the protections it provides, is ever more vital," he wrote. "We should celebrate our strong and independent judiciary, a key source of national unity and stability."

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Trump’s next 100 days will dictate whether he can be re-elected or not — here’s why

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According to CNN pollster-in-residence Harry Enten, Donald Trump's next 100 days -- which could include an impeachment trial in the Senate -- will hold the key to whether he will remain president in 2020.

As Eten explains in a column for CNN, "His [Trump's] approval rating has been consistently low during his first term. Yet his supporters could always point out that approval ratings before an election year have not historically been correlated with reelection success. But by mid-March of an election year, approval ratings, though, become more predictive. Presidents with low approval ratings in mid-March of an election year tend to lose, while those with strong approval ratings tend to win in blowouts and those with middling approval ratings usually win by small margins."

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