A Trump official in Florida told Bloomberg’s Joshua Green this week that it was difficult to know if voters would show up at the polls because it was “like predicting your wife’s mood.”
Green reported on Monday that Florida’s Miami-Dade County had become “the most important county in the country for Trump’s chances.”
According to Trump campaign Digital Director Brad Parscale, the “large numbers of persuadable” voters in Miami-Dade County could put Florida in Trump’s column.
But registrations and early voting aren’t looking good for the billionaire.
“Of the 29,657 voters who registered last month, 41 percent are Democrats, 44 percent are unaffiliated, and only 12.5 percent are Republicans,” Green noted.
And there’s worse news for the GOP nominee: Efforts to depress African-American turnout have failed and Hispanic voters are reportedly over-performing other groups.
“Basically, one in five blacks and one in three Hispanics didn’t vote in 2012 in Miami-Dade and have already cast a ballot,” University of Florida political scientist Daniel A. Smith told Green. “I have a hard time believing that many of these first-time voters are in the Trump camp after his scorched earth campaign against immigrants and, specifically, Hispanics.”
Parscale suggested the Trump campaign was hanging its hopes on Election Day turnout, but he said that there was no way to gauge turnout with certainty.
“It will be close,” Parscale insisted. “It’s like predicting your wife’s mood. You have no idea what you’re going to get until you get home.”