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Political polling analyst claims the GOP exodus is a much larger story than potential Democratic takeover

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Cable news outlets have been glued to the horserace of House seats that might flip from Republican to Democrat in November. However, Cook Political Report House analyst Dave Wasserman argued the larger story is the hemorrhage happening on the other side of the aisle.

Raw Story cited statistics from Republican strategist Evan Siegfried in June that revealed the beginning of the downward trend for the GOP. From Dec. 2015 to March 2017 the GOP lost 23 percent of young voters in their party.

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“And we are not seeing that attrition end,” he said. “We’re seeing more and more Republicans, who can’t stand this, saying ‘I’m no longer a Republican.’ And that is the problem. That’s why you’re seeing the approval ratings because it’s only the people who are 100 percent behind Donald Trump who are saying, ‘He’s doing a great job.’”

MSNBC host Yasmin Vossoughian pointed out that people like George Will and Steve Schmidt have nothing to lose in 2018, they’re not running for any elections. Where, many of the members of the GOP are fighting for their political lives, stuck between a rock and a hard place.

Meanwhile, according to Wasserman, Trump is running off the most dedicated members of his own party. There are 43 Republican seats that are open for the 2018 election. Axios explained it was one out of six Republicans in the House.

Wasserman explained that the greater sign of a “wave” is the intensity gap between Democrats and Republicans. Republicans aren’t excited about an election where President Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot. Meanwhile, anger is fueling progressives seeking revenge. With those for whom Trump didn’t keep his promises, enthusiasm wanes or they jump ship entirely.

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He went on to note that reporters might be being overcautious in predicting the so-called “blue wave” after the polling anomalies in the 2016 election failed to predict the Trump win.

Given the shift in issues, the “it” voter this election will likely be the “angry female college graduate.”

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“The most telling number in the most recent NBC/WSJ poll is that Trump’s approval rating among women with college degrees was 26 percent. That’s absolutely awful and the intensity of that group is extraordinary,” Wasserman told Axios. “They’re already the most likely demographic to turn out to vote in midterms. But never have they been this fervently anti-Republican.”

Read the full story at Axios.

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Enjoy this piece?

… then let us make a small request. Like you, we here at Raw Story believe in the power of progressive journalism — and we’re investing in investigative reporting as other publications give it the ax. Raw Story readers power David Cay Johnston’s DCReport, which we've expanded to keep watch in Washington. We’ve exposed billionaire tax evasion and uncovered White House efforts to poison our water. We’ve revealed financial scams that prey on veterans, and efforts to harm workers exploited by abusive bosses. We’ve launched a weekly podcast, “We’ve Got Issues,” focused on issues, not tweets. Unlike other news sites, we’ve decided to make our original content free. But we need your support to do what we do.

Raw Story is independent. You won’t find mainstream media bias here. We’re not part of a conglomerate, or a project of venture capital bros. From unflinching coverage of racism, to revealing efforts to erode our rights, Raw Story will continue to expose hypocrisy and harm. Unhinged from corporate overlords, we fight to ensure no one is forgotten.

We need your support to keep producing quality journalism and deepen our investigative reporting. Every reader contribution, whatever the amount, makes a tremendous difference. Invest with us in the future. Make a one-time contribution to Raw Story Investigates, or click here to become a subscriber. Thank you.



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‘Go back to Harlem!’: Florida woman has n-word laced meltdown after bumping black woman’s shopping cart

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On Saturday, the Atlanta Black Star reported an incident in Florida, in which a white woman screamed racial slurs at a black woman at a Publix supermarket in Miami after their shopping carts jostled each other.

After the woman allegedly banged into Nicki Johnson's cart, she refused to apologize, saying, "I didn't hit you with my cart, and f**k you,  you f**king n****r."

Johnson whipped out her cell phone camera, and began recording the incident, saying "You, why don't you call me a n****r again?"

"You thinking I'm sorry?" snapped the woman. "Let me tell you something, I don't have to call you anything. Get away from me, I will call security and there are surveillance videos. Get away from me!"

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‘I’m a nurse, what are you?’: Tennessee lawmaker humiliates anti-choice activists in brutal public grilling

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Anti-choice activists in Tennessee were unprepared for the grilling they got from a Democratic Party lawmaker when making the case for a bill that would outlaw abortion before many women knew they were pregnant.

One of the speakers in favor of the fetal heartbeat bill was Baptist Pastor Randy Davis, who was questioned by state Sen. Katrina Robinson (D-Memphis).

"How many women executive pastors do you have in your convention?" Robinson asked Davis. "Or senior pastors."

"None," Davis replied.

"So is it the same ideology that restricts access to women being able to lead a congregation that leads you all to support women not being able to make a medical decision about their body?" Robinson asked.

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2020 Election

Trump is doing everything he did in 2016 to get elected — and it’s failing this time: columnist

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On Saturday, Washington Post columnist Dan Balz wrote that President Donald Trump is relying on the same old bag of tricks that let him lurch blindly to a surprise victory in 2016 — but that that playbook is unlikely to get him elected again, let alone deliver sound domestic or foreign policy.

"After a week in which the threat of recession rocked global financial markets, his trade war with China showed no signs of progress and the government of Israel got into a nasty dispute with two members of Congress, President Trump went to bed Thursday night with other weighty issues on his mind. 'Great news,' he tweeted. 'Tonight we broke the all-time attendance record previously held by Elton John at #SNHUArena [Southern New Hampshire University] in Manchester!'" wrote Balz. "This is the frivolous mind-set of the president of the United States. Trump’s flurry of statements over the past few days have brought into focus once again something fundamental about him: He has little understanding of what it means to govern. He would rather tweet from the bleachers."

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