'Trump’s presidency is effectively over': New polling spells disaster for Trump in 2026

New polling data on swing states shows that a plurality of voters now favor President Donald Trump being impeached, a figure that one journalist suspects will reach an outright majority ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

“If Democrats win 20-40 seats, while only needing to flip three to take the majority, Trump’s presidency is effectively over,” wrote journalist Jason Easley, co-owner and editor of PoliticusUSA, a left-leaning news website, in an analysis published Thursday.

“The opposition to this president and his presidency appears to be only growing stronger. The pot is boiling, and the boil-over moment will likely manifest itself next November.”

Conducted by Lake Research Partners and commissioned by the national nonprofit Free Speech For People, the new poll shows that 49% of likely 2026 voters in swing districts supported impeaching Trump, compared to 44% who opposed. Additionally, the polling showed that 56% of those same voters disapproved of Trump during his second term compared to 40% who approved.

To the polling firm, the results were "unprecedented," noting that such high support for impeachment so early into a president’s term were “remarkable.”

“It is remarkable and, as far as we know, unprecedented for such a large proportion of voters in swing districts to support impeachment of a president in the first year of their term,” the polling firm wrote in its memorandum alongside the polling data.

As for Easley, he suspected that given the dramatic shift toward supporting impeachment, that support would reach an outright majority ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

“This is a surprising number of people in swing districts who want Trump impeached,” Easley wrote. “At the current pace this administration is on, the number of voters who want Trump impeached for a third time will pass 50% before the midterm election.”

Trump has been impeached twice already; first for his “perfect phone call” in which he was alleged to have attempted to extort Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy for damaging information on former President Joe Biden in 2019, and again in 2020 for attempting to overturn the results of the election.