'Broken craft of polling': MSNBC's Nicolle Wallace says predictions are showing big holes

MSNBC host Nicolle Wallace and former Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill (MO) agreed that something very different is happening in 2024 that didn't happen when Hillary Clinton ran for president in 2016.

The new Iowa poll released over the weekend suggested that Vice President Kamala Harris is not taking votes away from Donald Trump. Rather, it showed that Harris motivated voters who were sitting on the sidelines and changing the turnout. This picture of the electorate was similar to one Trump used in 2016, but it wasn't captured in polls that year either, as Pew Research explained.

Wallace said that she took her baby girl to vote with her this morning and saw other women with their children of all genders.

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The mother told Wallace that her son asked why he had to go vote with her.

"She said because I wanted you to be here when I voted for the first woman president," Wallace relayed. "I don't know if she was voting in New York in '16. I don't know who she voted for, but it is the voters talking about this, not the candidate."

Similar speeches came from Lady Gaga and Billie Eilish, who were on stage with Kamala Harris at rallies on Monday.

"But it seems that the pollsters, if Ann Selzer is on to something, might have missed it, too," Wallace continued. "That becomes part of a broken craft of polling."

McCaskill agreed, saying that one thing she believes in voting for those top offices is that the judgment is the most important quality in voting. Harris and Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN), she said, have that judgment to win.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump and Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH) "in their very best judgment to win this election felt like they could trash women for the last two weeks of the campaign when that is what they desperately need to come to their campaign, and they call women horrible words, they call the vice president trash, they call Nancy Pelosi the 'B' word. They continue to demean and denigrate women in ways that women see. It's like they think we don't see it," continued McCaskill.

She also noted that the rallies always play "This is a Man's World" on the speakers.

"I mean, we get it, guys. We get it," McCaskill said. 'It's your world. And women, I think, are viscerally responding to it in a way that they may not even be talking about, and that's what Ann Selzer may have captured."

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