Data expert says Trump's 'obsession' with past failure may boost Dems: 'Not a winner'

President Donald Trump's "obsession" with his election loss five years ago in Georgia could cost Republicans a chance to win back a Senate seat in the state, according to a new analysis.

The FBI seized ballots and other records this week from an election hub in Fulton County, where Trump was indicted for attempting to overturn his 2020 loss, and chief data analyst Harry Enten said on "CNN News Central" that his ongoing election fraud claims did not resonate with most voters.

"Trump'sobsession, obsession with anelection that was over fiveyears ago that he lost and thenhe won in 2024, he just can'tlet it go," Enten said. "But the Americanpeople do not believe Donald Trump on this one. How did [Joe] Bidenwin in 2020? Fair and square orvoter fraud? Fair and square, ofcourse, is the key, correctanswer here. No real proof ofvoter fraud."

Polls in 2020 found 60 percent of Americans believed Biden had won fair and square, compared to 32 percent who believed there was voter fraud involved, but in 2024 that split remained relatively unchanged at 62 percent to 36 percent, although Republicans were far more receptive to Trump's claims.

"Iwant you to break it down by2024 primary choice, okay, 90 percentof those who backed Donald Trumpin that primary believe that Biden's win was illegitimate," Enten said. "Itactually supercharged, it supercharged Donald Trump'sability to win the Republicannomination in 2024. But if youlook at the others, those whoare backing other candidates, itwas just 47 percent. Right now, ofcourse, the majority of Republicans voted for Donald Trump, and what you see is 69 percentof Republicans, in fact, believethat Biden's win wasillegitimate. But there is thisbreak within the Republicanbase. It is something that infact unites Democrats, notsomething that unites Republicans."

Trump's election fraud claims don't appear to be a winning issue with Georgia voters, Enten said.

"This is not a winnerfor Republicans," he said. "It's not awinner, and you go to Georgia,you know, you go to the lastmidterm election, right, 2022, Georgia voters say Biden's winwas legit or illegitimate, 58 percent.Again, you're getting thatthree in five, right, who saythat the win was legitimate.Democrats are begging, beggingfor the 2026 election to beabout the legitimacyof the 2020 election."

"Thisis a surprising number, chance towin the 2026 Georgia Senaterace, [Sen.] Jon Ossoff, the Democrats [have an] 80 percent chance, according to theprediction markets, Republicansjust a 20 percent chance. Every momentthat Donald Trump talks aboutthe 2020 election is a chancefor Jon Ossoff to boost hisprobability of winning. He wouldabsolutely love for Donald Trumpto continue on with hisdiatribe, his obsession, onethat the American people do notbelieve and Georgia votersdon't believe, either."

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