Elections expert schools MAGA on LA mayoral primary loss: 'It's simple math'

President Donald Trump's supporters are spreading a flurry of conspiracy theories about mail ballots after MAGA-aligned reality star Spencer Pratt was eliminated from the Los Angeles mayoral primary race — but he never had a chance, election data analyst Harry Enten told CNN's Kaitlan Collins on Monday evening.

"Harry, can you tell us what the numbers actually are and what we are looking at in places like L.A.?" asked Collins.

Enten started off by acknowledging "wewould rather the system bethat the votes were countedfaster in California." But the fact remains, he continued, "this is ... thedumbest conspiracy theory I'veever heard."

For starters, he said, this wasn't even the outcome the Democratic establishment in L.A. wanted. Incumbent mayor Karen Bass "wanted to faceSpencer Pratt, for thesimple reason that she wouldeasily beat him. You could lookat the runoff polls, right? [City Councilwoman] Nithya Raman actually is aheadof Karen Bass. Spencer Pratt wasnearly 20 points behind Karen Bass."

Indeed, he noted, net favorability polls show Bass "is greatly unpopular," but that Pratt "mightbe the one person in the [entirety of]Los Angeles who is running formayor, who is less popular thanshe was. He would havebeen a God-given gift to her ifshe, in fact, faced him in therunoff." This is further underscored, he said, by the fact that Trump, whom Pratt heavily attached himself to, is down around 55 points in the city.

"What a surprise ... that a Republican is struggling in a city in which just 15 percent of the registered voters in that city are Republican," concluded Enten. "This isn't a conspiracy. It's simple math."

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