'Overexposed' Trump seems to have finally worn out his fans: ex-conservative

Former right-wing operative turn progressive writer Matthew Sheffield believes that, after nine years, it appears Trump has oversaturated his followers.

Trump rallies have been emptying out early in the last several months, and the crowd sizes are down compared to the man who once had overflow event sites, Sheffield pointed out with a video of MSNBC showing the 70 percent-full rally in North Carolina on Monday around lunch time.

With Trump showing up late and speaking for hours, those who do stick around can get stranded.

Also Read: Why Trump is barely campaigning

Meanwhile, the campaign is blowing up phones, begging for money, or voting in polls that don't matter. Frustrated people who were signed up to the Trump list can't get them to stop, the San Francisco Chronicle reported over the weekend. The FCC rules mandate that replying "STOP" would stop the texts, but for some, unsolicited Trump texts persist.

"In a base turnout election, Trump loses," said Sheffield, revealing data from Gallup showing Democrats more enthusiastic to vote this year than Republican voters.

"Trump lost in 2020 because he failed to get some of his 2016 voters to come back to support him," he continued. "You can slice who these people were, but demographically, it was primarily white men. Trump improved his share among most other demographic groups."

He said that those voters either picked Joe Biden in 2024 or stayed home. If Trump wants to win, his goal must be to bring them back into his fold.

"But Trump has not modified his message really at all. So why would they return?" asked Sheffield.

He also pointed out that polling is so woefully inadequate that a better indication of enthusiasm might be donations.

"Trump's small-dollar numbers also indicate his support is lower. The oligarchs are keeping him afloat," he pointed out citing a Bloomberg chart.

Sheffield cited the New York Times/Siena College poll, which shows that the last-minute undecided voters are 55% for Harris and 44% for Trump.

It appears "his act has grown stale as aging has hit him hard. He can't adapt," the writer said. "If you've been to one Trump rally, you've been to all of them. He says the same old thing every time, despite frequently deviating from the teleprompter."

Read the full thread here.