Bonjour and Happy Father's Day, Pandagoalians! I just spend the last two days traveling with my family to Quebec City. We're finally settled in and drinking wine, so I'm back in action. Hope to get a real post (other than this technical business) up tomorrow, or possibly drunkenly later this evening.
Once again, these look more complex than they really are; if you had to nutshell things in Group C you’d say that if you win, you’re in unless you’re Algeria in which case you need a bit of help. As before, these are in order of most to least likely, by my estimation aided by Roxy as needed. I’ve been a bit more precise with Group C (getting into the GF tiebreak) because I know people are probably more interested in that one than the others.
Group C
Slovenia/US
Slovenia WIN or DRAW + US WIN or DRAW*
England/Slovenia
England WIN + US DRAW*
US/England
England WIN + US WIN
Slovenia/Algeria
Slovenia WIN or DRAW + Algeria WIN
England/Algeria
England WIN + Algeria WIN
Group D
Ghana/Germany
Ghana DRAW +Australia WIN or DRAW
Germany/Ghana
Germany WIN + Australia WIN or DRAW
Ghana/Serbia
Ghana WIN + Serbia WIN or DRAW
Serbia/Ghana
Ghana DRAW +Serbia WIN
Ghana/Australia
Ghana WIN +Australia WIN
Group E
Group E's not really worth breaking down; Netherlands are in (w00t! go Oranje!) and barring armageddon (in the form of a lopsided loss to Cameroon) they win the group. The second Group E slot will be settled on the pitch between Japan and Denmark, with Denmark needing a win and Japan needing only a draw.
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