Democrats are signaling that the days of Republicans coasting in the Deep South may be over after last week’s midterms, when the party either pulled off upsets or came close in states long written off as safely red.
Democratic leaders now say the results are “proof of concept” that the party should compete hard in the South, which would force Republicans to spend money protecting turf they once took for granted, reported the Washington Sun.
“In the past, the party would invest in places like Mississippi just enough to force the Republicans to spend money,” Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) told the Sun. “Same thing in Texas, same thing in South Carolina, same thing in Georgia. Until we began to win.”
Southern Democrats have plenty of evidence to tout. In South Carolina, Annie Andrews flipped a Senate seat. In Mississippi, Democrat Scott Colom led Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith by about 2,000 votes as of Friday afternoon. In Florida, Angie Nixon came within three points of Sen. Ashley Moody. Democrats also flipped Senate seats or picked up statewide offices in North Carolina and Georgia.
Warnock recalled a meeting where donors laughed at him for urging them to pay attention to Colom’s race.
“I think Mississippi got the last laugh Tuesday night,” he said.
Even where Democrats came up short, the margins were tight. In Tennessee, state Rep. Justin Pearson lost by just 1 percentage point in a House district drawn to heavily favor Republicans, even though national Democrats didn’t make his race a priority until October.
“There’s a paradigm shift happening and a deep recognition that there’s no way to House majorities, Senate majorities without the South,” Pearson said. “The South is the future of the country, and we need to start investing in it like it is.”
The results are prompting Democrats to rethink the conventional wisdom that a polarized electorate shrinks the battleground to a few swing states. That could mean Republicans have to defend far more ground in 2028.
“The lesson we should take from this is that when we have good candidates and we invest, we can win anywhere,” said Amy Morton, a Georgia-based strategist who leads the firm Southern Majority.
Georgia Democratic Party Chair Charlie Bailey predicted national groups will start pouring money into other Southern states.
“Mississippi, South Carolina. I mean, this shows that you can win,” Bailey said. “We can win in the South, and we got to have the right candidates. We got to have the right message. We got to have the money to build the organizing.”
DNC Chair Ken Martin vowed the party “will continue to invest in the South” heading into 2028.