'Wave adios, amigos': CNN's data guru warns Trump current polls show GOP cannot win

President Donald Trump is losing support among a key constituency that helped him win re-election, and CNN's Harry Enten showed that his popularity has plummeted to historic lows.

A new Gallup poll shows the president has fallen to his lowest level of support six months into his second term, driven largely by a drop in his approval rating among self-described independents, which Enten told "CNN News Central" signaled major problems.

"This is the biggest warning sign, the biggest danger sign for President Trump in his second term so far," Enten said. "Why is that? Because it does not appear that there is a bottom to which Donald's support can't fall to. What are we talking about? Trump's net approval rating with independents, you know, there was all this hubbub about Gallup that came out this past week. You see, back in January, it was minus-two points. Now it's minus-35 points, but what's important here is Gallup is largely matching the average. Back in January, in the average, Trump's net approval rating with independents was minus-three. Look at where it's fallen to now – minus-29 points. That is a drop of over 25 points with the key part of the electorate."

"If you're not winning among independents, you're probably not winning overall, and when your net approval rating is minus-29 points, you are definitely not winning overall," Enten added. "It's huge."

His approval rating among independents is even lower than it was in 2017, during his first term.

"We were talking about Trump's overall approval rating, that it was the second-worst overall," Enten said. "But we look among independents, it is the worst on record at this point. My goodness gracious, worst net approval ratings ever.Ssix months in among independents, last time around, Trump broke the all time record at minus-23 points. He is even lower than that now at minus-29 points. He has broken his own record for the worst on record. As I said at the beginning, there appears to be no fall, and Trump is certainly falling through that floor. "

The president is so unpopular, especially on one key economic issue, that he could drag down the Republican Party in next year's midterm elections, Enten said.

"Inflation, in my mind, was what cost Joe Biden the presidency more than any other factor, and it brought him down," Enten said. "But guess what? Donald Trump at this point, his net approval rating on inflation among independents, it's actually worse than Biden's was a year ago. Biden was way, way underwater at minus-38 points. But look at Trump and the average of polls on inflation. Oh, my goodness gracious – minus-45 points. I never thought I'd see the day, especially this early on in the Trump administration. The issue that, in large part, got him elected is, at this point, the issue more so than any other that is dragging him down."

"If this is what we have on midterm day come 2026, I can promise you this, the Republican majority in the House, you can wave adios, amigos, goodbye to it because Republicans, simply put, can't win with this number," he added.

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