Nate Silver gives Trump a roughly 1-in-4 chance to win — and explains how he could still pull it off

On Tuesday, following Labor Day, election modeler Nate Silver took stock of the current state of the presidential race. In a Twitter thread, he noted that Joe Biden is still the favorite to win, but that his model gives President Donald Trump a 1-in-4 chance of an upset — roughly what his model also said in 2016 — and explained how the president could pull off another victory.