Opinion

Why Kamala Harris may get a big convention polling ‘bounce’

Back in 1988, Gallup polling had Democrat Michael Dukakis up by 17 points over Republican George H. W. Bush in July of that year.

Bush went on to trounce Dukakis, who in the race’s final days was running such a listless and futile campaign that Saturday Night Live served up one of its all-time brutal presidential candidate skits the weekend before Election Day. The Dukakis experience helped fuel the myth of the post-political party convention poll bounce as being overinflated and irrelevant.

Keep reading... Show less

Stop the Steal 2024 is here

When Donald Trump tells 150 million of his followers that Kamala Harris is lying about her campaign rally crowd sizes, mainstream media — and the Department of Homeland Security — should pay close attention.

Trump isn’t just licking his wounded ego. He’s test marketing “Stop the Steal” redux.

Keep reading... Show less

Does hosting your political convention in Chicago equal victory? History has an answer

As Democrats converge on Chicago in what appears to be an organized show of unity at their 2024 convention, it’s a far cry from what transpired 100 years ago in New York City.

There and then, the Democratic party fielded 16 presidential candidates and conducted 103 ballots votes for a nominee. Battles raged over whether the party should insert a platform plank condemning the KKK. A delegate allegedly quipped, “We’re either going to have to pick a candidate tonight or a cheaper hotel.”

Keep reading... Show less

‘Make them pay’: J.D. Vance says ‘destroy’ those who oppose values that make America great

In a fascistic, nationalistic, and anti-"woke" speech to a right-wing pro-MAGA think tank in 2021, J.D. Vance decreed the conservative movement should destroy those who are "fighting the values and virtues that make this country great."

Vance's remarks to the Claremont Institute were unearthed Thursday by The Christian Science Monitor, which reported on his views about Amazon supporting Black Lives Matter, and companies that are pro-choice.

Keep reading... Show less

How Trump's new gibberish speeches are alienating swing voters

Donald Trump is in a pickle. It doesn’t seem to matter what he does or doesn’t do. According to 538’s national polling average tracker, the former president’s share of the electorate was at 43.5 percent on the day Joe Biden dropped out of the running. Today, in his race against Kamala Harris, his share of the vote is 43.5 percent. All the new movement, as the pollsters say, has been on the Democratic side.

To put this another way, the vice president is the fluid candidate. She can move voters, with good performances and bad. Trump, however, is the static candidate. He can’t move voters at all (perhaps because most Americans have made up their minds). There was no bump after the Republican National Convention. There was no bump after his attempted assassination. There was no bump after Biden became the first incumbent in half a century to decline his party’s nomination.

Keep reading... Show less

Inside the tax cut that changed everything for the middle class in America

Twenty-two years ago, Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman wrote for The New York Times Magazine about the era in which he and I both grew up, when the top income tax rate on the morbidly rich ran between 74 and 90 percent.

“[T]he America I grew up in — the America of the 1950’s and 1960’s — was a middle-class society, both in reality and in feel. The vast income and wealth inequalities of the Gilded Age had disappeared. Yes, of course, there was the poverty of the underclass — but the conventional wisdom of the time viewed that as a social rather than an economic problem. Yes, of course, some wealthy businessmen and heirs to large fortunes lived far better than the average American. But they weren’t rich the way the robber barons who built the mansions had been rich, and there weren’t that many of them. The days when plutocrats were a force to be reckoned with in American society, economically or politically, seemed long past.

“Daily experience confirmed the sense of a fairly equal society. The economic disparities you were conscious of were quite muted. Highly educated professionals — middle managers, college teachers, even lawyers— often claimed that they earned less than unionized blue-collar workers. Those considered very well off lived in split-levels, had a housecleaner come in once a week and took summer vacations in Europe. But they sent their kids to public schools and drove themselves to work, just like everyone else.”

Back then most business people avoided politics, preferring to stick to running their companies; in large part this was because when the rich seized political control of America in the Roaring 20s they crashed the economy so badly they were shamed into staying out of the political arena.

Keep reading... Show less

Pleasure vs. pain: How Kamala Harris is flipping the script on the GOP

“An old English judge once said, ‘Necessitous men are not free men.’ Liberty requires opportunity to make a living—a living decent according to the standard of the time, a living which gives man not only enough to live by, but something to live for.”

—President Franklin D. Roosevelt, June 27, 1936

When President Joe Biden was running for reelection, his main pitch was about the danger Donald Trump represented to American democracy and peace in the world. Now that Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee, she’s shifted the emphasis of the campaign away from that danger and onto the opportunities that lay before Americans if we can just elect enough Democrats to bring them into reality.

Keep reading... Show less

Golden years or golden scam? Inside the Republican battle to annihilate your retirement

Recently, a retired woman seeking advice wrote to MarketWatch’s financial advisor, saying:

“I was ‘financially set’ after my husband died. But my current adviser lost $500,000 over the last few years, and then a new adviser said my portfolio was ‘a mess’ and wants 1.25% to fix it. What’s my move?”

She was the victim of an unethical financial advisor hustling decades of churning commission-based products that essentially transferred her money into his pocket. As she told MarketWatch, “The adviser was paid per trade.”

Keep reading... Show less

How Harris is snatching power from the press

The first thing you need to know about the vice president’s approach to the Washington press corps is look how well she’s doing as a result. Kamala Harris is now leading Donald Trump in some national polling averages as well as in some swing-state polls. True, her lead is within the margin of error in most cases, but that’s an improvement from where the Democrats were before Joe Biden dropped out of the running and orchestrated instantaneous unification around his No. 2.

I don’t think I’m overstating things. Her current lead, the millions of dollars she’s bringing in, the thousands of volunteers who are signing up to help, the big big mo’ – I think all of it comes directly from her campaign’s decision not to give the press corps too much access too fast. I think that decision comes directly from the fact that Harris saw firsthand what the press corps did to Joe Biden’s campaign.

Keep reading... Show less

GOP's attack on Americans' retirement savings just went to the next disgusting level

It will come as no surprise to the regulars around here that I have soured to the point where I can barely pucker up to the work being done by our corporate, national media these days.

My love affair with the profession I gave most of my life to has ended in hurt and disappointment. Our national press too often presents as incompetent fools who are more interested in being led around by the nose than they are in sniffing out stories, including the biggest one of our lives.

Keep reading... Show less

Trump's greatest heist

For once, the Chief Thief’s told the truth —

His tone as usual uncouth.

Keep reading... Show less

J.D. Vance’s comments and foreword to Project 2025 book show his contempt for women

It was the kind of juvenile stunt you’d expect from a frat boy being a jerk. But the problem child pulling the bizarre maneuver on an airport tarmac in Wisconsin last week — to stalk Vice President Kamala Harris — was none other than Senator Cringeworthy from Ohio, or J.D. Vance, his latest alias.

The Republican vice-presidential nominee is seemingly hellbent on reinforcing his odious public image as a weird piece of work from The Handmaid’s Tale. No wonder the Gilead-curious Vance is soaring off the unlikability charts as more voters discover what Ohioans already have about the fringe right-winger with patriarchal fever dreams.

Keep reading... Show less

It's time for Bill Barr to be brought to justice

The Washington Post reported last week that there’s very good reason to believe that Egypt’s dictator, Gen. Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, organized a $10 million cash bribe to Donald Trump when he was most desperate for the same amount of money during the 2016 election.

American intelligence reported that el-Sisi ordered $10 million in $100 bills be taken from a bank in Egypt — representing a large chunk of that country’s entire US dollar foreign reserves — and have them transported, possibly, to Donald Trump.

Keep reading... Show less