One move could be 'Trump's undoing' as 'nightmare' scenario looms: expert
Donald Trump could be facing a total collapse of his administration should he make one wrong move, an expert has warned.
Describing the president as a "bad gambler," defense expert Chris Hughes suggested Trump could be taken down a worrying path during the war with Iran. Writing in The Mirror, Hughes outlined a scenario in which the US would not win against Iran, and that this may be a path Trump wishes to pursue.
Trump could be "tempted into a ground war against hundreds of thousands, perhaps a million, of Iranian IRGC and Artesh regular forces that cannot be won," according to Hughes, who warned there would be no victory with a boots on the ground display from the US in Iran.
"It does not take 17,000 ground troops to win against those odds and it is likely Trump has already been told this," Hughes wrote. "Even with defections and airstrikes a ground invasion of Iran would be a long-term and bloody nightmare.
"The same goes for the taking of Kharg Island and perhaps a special forces raid on Iran’s nuclear sites to seize its enriched uranium. This will be Trump’s undoing, and the same goes for anyone else who goes along with it."
Part of the problem regarding Trump's potential decision, Hughes warns, is in underestimating Iran's forces. He wrote, "The deathly irony remains that whilst it would prefer not to have been attacked in the first place, the latter is exactly what Iran too wants - it is a great big trap.
"As we have said repeatedly the Iranian regime has always known it cannot take on America head-on - but it can draw it into a humiliating guerilla war that will cost huge numbers of lives.
"And it can try and out-cost the US, forcing it to spend even more than the billions it has already cost, whilst also costing the Gulf States billions in Patriot missiles. And this is by using £30,000 drones against multi-million pound Patriot defence missiles to bankrupt Trump’s war machine into a retreat.
"He has constantly bragged Iran has no navy or air force. The same could have been said for the Viet Cong and the Taliban and look where that got the States and other militaries that sacrificed troops, such as the UK, helping its war against terror."