Joe Rogan predicts Dem 'win in 2028' because of Trump's 'extremely unpopular' policies
Joe Rogan thinks the GOP's Iran war could blow up in their faces — and hand Democrats the White House in 2028.
The popular podcaster — and longtime pal of President Donald Trump — floated the prediction Tuesday during a sprawling conversation with venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, who had spent much of the episode raging against proposed wealth tax measures in California and at the federal level.
"People look at what's going on right now with the Republicans. The Iran war, which is extremely unpopular, very unpopular," Rogan said. "I mean, what is it polling at now? It's something like low 30% of people that think it's a good idea."
Then came the kicker.
"So the Democrats come along, you know, and they win in 2028," Rogan continued. "And then you have these ideas pushed forward because people want something different than what you have now."
Andreessen agreed, warning, "And then it just opens the door to this stuff."
Rogan's numbers track closely with recent surveys. A Pew Research Center poll conducted in March found roughly 6 in 10 Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of the conflict, while just 37% approve. Pew also found that Democrats overwhelmingly believe the U.S. made the wrong decision to use military force in Iran.
Emerson College polling from the same month showed that 47% of likely voters opposed U.S. military action in Iran, while only 40% supported it. The same survey found Trump's overall approval underwater at 42%, and Democrats holding a 7-point edge on the generic 2026 congressional ballot.
A Data For Progress survey released through the IMEU Policy Project went further, finding 53% of voters disapprove of Trump's strikes against Iran — what the group called "the lowest approval at the start of a US war in decades." That poll also concluded voters are less likely to back Republicans in November as a direct consequence of the war.
The Rogan prediction is particularly notable given the podcaster's role as one of Trump's most influential boosters in the 2024 election. Rogan hosted Trump for a marathon three-hour interview just days before the vote and formally endorsed him in its closing stretch — a moment widely credited with helping the GOP nominee lock down young male voters.
The 2028 conversation veered into focus after Andreessen unloaded on a California ballot measure that would impose a wealth tax — and on Sen. Elizabeth Warren's (D-MA) proposal for a 6% annual federal tax on unrealized gains. Andreessen claimed the Biden administration had tried to push through a similar federal asset tax twice and would have done so again in 2025 had Kamala Harris won.
"This is the single most activating thing I've seen happen in politics that has people in the valley cranked up," Andreessen said, warning that Silicon Valley figures are fleeing California for Nevada, Texas and Florida.
But Rogan's point ran counter to the billionaire's optimism: if Trump's Iran war keeps cratering, voters may not care what Silicon Valley wants.
"There's something in the water that's pushing in this direction," Andreessen conceded, pointing to similar leftward political shifts unfolding in the United Kingdom, France and Germany.