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All posts tagged "bond market"

‘Radioactive’: White House insiders ‘freaked out’ as Fed chief probe spooks key market

White House insiders were reportedly reeling Monday as President Donald Trump's Department of Justice launched its investigation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, prompting anxiety over financial market disruptions.

The Trump administration was apparently in "damage-control mode" after the news heightened over the DOJ's criminal probe announcement that alleges Powell lied about the scope of renovations at the Fed headquarters, Politico reported.

"Privately, some White House officials see the episode as radioactive, with aides and allies eager to distance themselves from a probe they believe could do more damage to the White House than to Powell," according to Politico. "One of the five people familiar said some inside and close to the White House are 'freaked out' that a further threat to the Fed chief’s job security could spook the bond market."

The White House was reportedly working to distance itself from the investigation as Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters Monday that the Trump administration was not aware of the investigation and that president did not prompt the DOJ to initiate the subpoenas.

"And given the Fed’s role in keeping a lid on inflation, the decision to target Powell in a criminal probe risks eroding Wall Street’s confidence in Trump’s economic agenda and the central bank’s credibility at a time when the president faces serious political challenges over his handling of the economy before the midterm elections," Politico reported.

Powell has pushed back on President Donald Trump's pressure over lowering interest rates. He issued a defiant response in a video statement on Sunday, responding to the president's most recent revenge attack. Trump's other retribution campaigns have targeted Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James.

“I have deep respect for the rule of law and for accountability in our democracy. No one—certainly not the chair of the Federal Reserve—is above the law,” Powell said. “But this unprecedented action should be seen in the broader context of the administration’s threats and ongoing pressure.”

'The most powerful check on Trump' isn't Congress or the courts: analysis

In a perfect world, Congress and the courts would keep President Donald Trump's executive branch in line by balancing out his portion of the country's power base. Absent their effectiveness, the financial markets may be the last line of defense to moderate Trump's behavior, according to new analysis in The Bulwark.

Writer Matt Johnson posited that even as these vital institutions cave in to Trump's demands, "one important check remains: There’s nothing Trump can do to bend global financial markets to his will."

As an example, Johnson wrote that Trump's tariffs and the resulting stock market chaos were somewhat quelled last week when Trump was "bullied into submission" by the bond market. Trump announced that he was backing off his trade war because people were "getting yippee," but a massive sell-off in U.S. bonds led a CNN analyst to call it a rare economic "red flag" that even Trump couldn't ignore.

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Allison Morrow, a senior writer for CNN Business, said last week that "Normally in times of economic turmoil, we would see stocks sell off and investors go to bonds. That didn't happen. We saw investors selling stocks and bonds. And that is really a red flag because it's only happened a handful of times in history and its a signal that investors can't really see which way the economy is going."

In Johnson's Bulwark article, he called it "a sad commentary on the decay of America’s democratic institutions that the market is now the most powerful check on Trump. While financial markets are subject to manipulation and can be captured by both irrational exuberance and irrational fear, they are usually extremely efficient information processors."

Johnson continued, "Markets are a proxy for what people really believe is true about the world—MAGA members of Congress can spout all the familiar pro-Trump slogans about a golden age for America, but the real measure of the public’s confidence in Trump’s economic stewardship is how they adjust their portfolios. Markets provide immediate feedback on Trump’s actions. They can’t be flattered or pressured. They can’t be swayed by alternative facts."

Read The Bulwark article here.

U.S. borrowing rate falls a fraction on budget deal

Trading in U.S. government debt took the last-minute US budget deal in its stride early on Thursday when treasury bond yields were slightly lower than before the agreement.

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