Trump sinks underwater in every swing state in new polling
President Donald Trump boasts about winning all seven swing states last year to claim a broad mandate, but new polling shows him underwater in each of them less than a year after the 2024 election.
The president's net approval rating is above water in only 24 states, down one from the Morning Consult's last update, after Arizona and Georgia flipped into negative territory since May, and his negative approval ratings could dampen enthusiasm for Republicans in next year's midterm elections, reported Newsweek.
"The latest Morning Consult survey shows the president’s net approval is now negative across all seven battlegrounds expected to decide the 2026 election — Pennsylvania (-2), Michigan (-5), Wisconsin (-8), Arizona (-2), Georgia (-1), Nevada (-3), and North Carolina (-3)," the outlet reported.
Arizona voters were split on Trump's job performance in May and Georgia votes approved of him by plus-three at that point, but he has since dropped by two and four points, respectively, and he fared even worse in Nevada and North Carolina, where he experienced seven- and six-point swings, respectively.
"The declines extend to states set to hold key 2025 gubernatorial contests," Newsweek reported. "In Virginia, Trump’s approval has fallen to 43 percent, down from 47 percent in the first quarter of the year, while 54 percent of voters now disapprove — up from 50 percent over that period. In New Jersey, 42 percent of voters approve of Trump, compared with 54 percent who disapprove, marking a one-point increase in disapproval since early 2025."
The president's party has lost House seats in nearly every midterm cycle since World War II, often by huge margins, but early polling from CNN predicts Democrats could lose up to 19 seats in the House – but Trump's approval could be a drag on GOP chances to maintain their majority.
"Presidents with approval ratings below 50 percent tend to see even larger losses," Newsweek reported. "On average, they have lost about 37 House seats, according to Gallup. Meanwhile, the latest nationwide Morning Consult polling put his approval rating at 45 percent."
A Fox reporter called the polling "scary for the White House."