A combination of President Donald Trump’s handling of the economy and immigration has dealt Republicans nationwide a “striking” blow just ahead of the midterms, Axios reported Tuesday after getting its hands on new data.
Trump made historic gains with Hispanic voters in 2024, securing between 46% and 48% of the Hispanic vote. That voting bloc has appeared to have since turned on Trump and Republicans, however, with new polling from Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision shared exclusively with Axios revealing a bleak picture for the GOP just weeks ahead of the midterms.
“Overall, Trump is deeply underwater with Latino voters in [certain] battleground districts,” Axios’ report reads.
According to the new data, a total of 11% of Hispanic voters who backed Trump in 2024 now say they intend to support Democratic congressional candidates. Furthermore, a total of 63% disapprove of Trump’s overall job performance, with only 36% indicating they approve. A total of 65% disapprove of Trump’s “handling of prices and the cost of living,” and 62% disapprove of his immigration policy.
“Democrats are gaining ground with Latino voters across a survey of 17 competitive House districts, opening a 58%-35% lead on the generic congressional ballot, according to the Hart Research for TelevisaUnivision poll,” Axios’ report reads.
“That 23-point margin is double the 11-point edge Kamala Harris held over Trump in the same sample's self-reported 2024 vote. Among Spanish-language media consumers, Democrats lead the 2026 generic ballot by 14 points, compared with a 1-point Trump edge in the group's self-reported 2024 vote.”
With the midterms just over eight weeks away as of Tuesday, TelevisaUnivision Senior Vice President Kate Coleman made clear that Hispanic voters were not “locked into one party.”
“They're paying close attention and making decisions based on who shows up for them, and how they're showing up,” Coleman told Axios.
