Quantcast
Connect with us

Poll: Ron Paul poised to win Iowa caucuses

Published

on

Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX), once labeled nothing more than a “gadfly” by a former Bush strategist, has emerged as the GOP’s leading candidate in the crucial Iowa caucuses, the first post-Christmas poll to be published this year has found.

With the nation’s first primary vote just six days away, Paul is leading former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (R) 24 percent to 20 percent, according to the democratic-affiliated Public Policy Polling (PPP) group.

ADVERTISEMENT

The same survey also found that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) has sunk dramatically in recent weeks, down to just 13 percent, putting him within the margin of error of other second-tier candidates like Rep. Michelle Bachmann (R-MN) at 11 percent and Texas Governor Rick Perry (R) at 10 percent.

Former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA) was tied with Perry at 10 percent, followed by former ambassador Jon Huntsman (R) at 4 percent and former Louisiana Governor Buddy Roemer (R) at 2 percent.

The poll found that while Paul leads the pack, he does so thanks to a broad coalition of voters, not all of whom are actually Republicans. PPP found that about one-fourth of Paul’s supporters are either independents or Democrats who plan to cross over and support him in the Republican primary, giving him the crucial edge over Romney who otherwise holds a narrow lead among Republicans.

PPP also found that Paul is pulling much greater support from younger voters, who he wins over Romney by a margin of 35 percent to 11 percent. He’s also got an edge when it comes to how committed his supporters are: 77 percent are “firmly committed” to him, while Romney’s core support is at 71 percent who are firmly committed.

Finally, in potentially the most crucial campaign metric, Romney seems to be losing momentum where Paul is gaining. PPP found that Romney’s favorability rating has dropped into negative territory for the first time in months, going from 49 percent favorable and 40 unfavorable — a 9 percent rating — to 44 percent favorable and 47 percent unfavorable –a -3 favorability rating.

ADVERTISEMENT

PPP concluded that if Paul can maintain his ground game and bring in younger voters to next week’s caucuses, “he’ll win,” but they warned: “If turnout ends up looking a little bit more traditional, Romney will probably prevail.”


Report typos and corrections to: [email protected].
READ COMMENTS - JOIN THE DISCUSSION
Continue Reading

2012

A harsh lesson for Trump: He can’t beat the virus — and even his followers know it

Published

on

The reviews are in and President Trump's ballyhooed return to the stage this past weekend in Tulsa was a dud. After three months on hiatus, with nothing but the increasingly disastrous coronavirus press briefings to keep him in shape, the president turned in a very shaky performance. Even his greatest hits, like "Lock her up" and "Build that wall," couldn't bring the magic.The campaign and the White House had relentlessly hyped this return, telling the media that they had a million RSVPs for the event and even planned an outdoor overflow venue where the president was slated to make a surprise visit before he entered the main stage. But the huge crowd failed to materialize and the outdoor event was hastily scrapped as it became apparent they wouldn't even come close to filling the indoor arena. Local fire marshals estimated the crowd at a little over 6,000, less than one-third the arena's capacity and 40,000 short of the crowd they anticipated outside.
Continue Reading

2012

Coronavirus is fostering a culture of no touching — a psychologist explains why that’s a problem

Published

on

Touch has profound benefits for human beings. But over the last few decades, people have becomeincreasingly cautious about socially touching others for a range of reasons. With the novel coronavirus spreading, this is bound to get worse. People have already started avoiding shaking hands. And the British queen was seen wearing gloves as a precautionnot to contract the virus.The coronavirus could very well have long-term implications for how hands-on we are – reinforcing already existing perceptions that touch should be avoided.Why is touch so important? It helps us share how we feel about othe... (more…)

Continue Reading
 

2012

North Carolina is a delegate prize on Super Tuesday. But it’s a complicated one

Published

on

CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Only two states have more Democratic delegates at stake than North Carolina on Super Tuesday. But who will get them?Well, it’s complicated.— It depends not just on how many votes a candidate gets but where he or she gets them.— In a sense, candidates still in the race will be competing with those who’ve dropped out.— And regardless of the primary outcome, so-called automatic delegates — once known as superdelegates — can support whoever they want.“Of course it’s complicated,” said University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato. “It doesn’t have to be that complicated... (more…)

Continue Reading
 
 
You need honest news coverage. Help us deliver it. Join Raw Story Investigates for $1. Go ad-free.
close-image