Election expert says GOP may have already lost House to Democrats: Trump coalition 'will not turn out'
Paul Ryan and GOP presenting Tax Bill (cnn.com)

A top election analyst asserted this week that it may be too late for Republicans to retain control of the U.S. House of Representatives.

Cowen & Co.'s Washington Research Group managing editor Chris Krueger told Axios' Mike Allen that there are multitude of signs pointing to a Democratic takeover of the House.

Krueger noted that in the six previous midterm elections where the president's job approval was under 50 percent, the president's party lost an average of 43 seats. Democrats need to win 24 seats to win the House.

According to Krueger, Democrats are expected to get half of the necessary wins by flipping seven of the Republican seats in California and six in Pennsylvania. He said that Republicans are also vulnerable in suburban areas, where there are nearly two dozen GOP districts that were won by Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

But Kruger also suggested that the Trump coalition would be a "wild card" in the coming midterms.

"[W]e suspect the unique coalition that supported the president will not turn out for generic House members of that President’s party," Allen reported. "You do not drain the swamp by reelecting the establishment and the deep state."

Read the entire report here.