President Donald Trump's high-stakes meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un will take place in the coming weeks -- but it's increasingly clear that neither the president nor his advisers know what the outcome will be.
Robert E. Kelly, a professor of political science who teaches in Korea, writes on Twitter that Trump has essentially been tricked into holding a major summit with Kim, and he isn't sure how the president will react once he realizes that North Korea has no real plans to scrap its nuclear arsenal.
"It increasingly looks like the [South Korean President Moon Jae-in] administration overstated North Korea’s willingness to deal," Kelly writes. "Moon likely exaggerated this to tie Trump to a diplomatic track to prevent him from backsliding into last year’s war-threats which scared the daylights out of South Koreans."
Kelly then writes that a more cool-headed president would have taken some time to consider various factors before agreeing to meet with Kim -- but, argues Kelly, Trump likely had visions of a Nobel Peace Prize, which led to him accepting the offer less than an hour after it was made.
However, Kelly believes that this fluffing of Trump could have a serious price tag, as he might eventually realize that he's been played.
"None of this Trump-whispering is true: NK is not going to denuclearize; NK was not driven to negotiate by maximum pressure (they chose to negotiate, because they established nuclear deterrence with the US mainland); and Trump does not deserve a Nobel, because, well, I am pretty sure that threatening national genocide at the United Nations – ‘totally destroy North Korea’ – is a disqualifier," he writes.
Read the whole thread below.
2a) Moon likely exaggerated this to tie Trump to a diplomatic track to prevent him from backsliding into last year’… https://t.co/QJ46nQtu5L— Robert E Kelly (@Robert E Kelly) 1526877434.0
3) Flattering Trump into diplomacy is likely also why Moon’s government credited Trump with driving NK to negotiati… https://t.co/qTYar3Pvth— Robert E Kelly (@Robert E Kelly) 1526877435.0
5a) The problem, of course, is that none of this Trump-whispering is true: NK is not going to denuclearize; NK was… https://t.co/jX1ryCh5PE— Robert E Kelly (@Robert E Kelly) 1526877435.0
6a) The great irony, which US conservative media will never admit of course, is that Trump actually drove SK to the… https://t.co/ZucNO7un9U— Robert E Kelly (@Robert E Kelly) 1526877436.0
7a) At this point, the best thing to do would be to postpone the summit until greater common ground among the 3 pla… https://t.co/IRXHc8pBjk— Robert E Kelly (@Robert E Kelly) 1526878297.0
Trump likely desperately wants this summit for the TV, attn, & a political 'win' he can market at home to change th… https://t.co/3bSWyyoau2— Robert E Kelly (@Robert E Kelly) 1526878298.0