Quantcast
Connect with us

This ‘ominous pattern’ should make Trump fear ‘potential disaster’ in 2020: CNN polling expert

Published

on

CNN polling expert Harry Enten has done a rundown of some recent data, and has found an “ominous pattern” that should make President Donald Trump nervous about his 2020 reelection chances.

The trouble for Trump, Enten writes, is that he benefited greatly in 2016 from voters who didn’t like either him or Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. This meant that he had a lot of people who voted for him despite disliking him, as well as people who might have voted for Clinton but who stayed home because they didn’t like her.

ADVERTISEMENT

In 2018, however, voting patterns showed that people who disapproved of Trump’s presidency did not hold their noses and vote for Republicans — rather, they backed Democrats almost all the way across the board.

“To win in 2020, Trump can’t have the election be a referendum on him if his approval rating is this low. He needs to win a substantial share of those who disapprove of him,” he argues. “So far, that’s not happening.”

According to FiveThirtyEight’s average of all polls, Trump’s current approval rating stands at 42 percent, while his disapproval rating is 53 percent. If 95 percent of the people who disapprove of Trump vote for a Democrat, as they did during the 2018 midterms, then Enten forecasts that the president would easily lose.

“That spells potential disaster for Trump,” Enten said.

Read the whole analysis here.

ADVERTISEMENT


Report typos and corrections to: [email protected].
READ COMMENTS - JOIN THE DISCUSSION
Continue Reading

Breaking Banner

WATCH: Saturday Night Live airs Christmas special — that’s just one giant dig at the Electoral College

Published

on

NBC's "Saturday Night Live" aired an opening skit that was just one giant attack on the electoral college.

A snowman introduced the segment, saying that we could look in on the holiday table conversation thanks to hacked Nest cams.

The skit featured a house in San Francisco, California, a second in Charleston, South Carolina and a third in Atlanta, Georgia.

Each dinner table debated impeachment, and the differences between President Donald Trump and his predecessor, President Barack Obama.

But then the snowman said that none of their votes matter.

"They'll debate the issues all year long, but then it all comes down to 1,000 people in Wisconsin who won't even think about the election until the morning of," the snowman said. "And that's the magic of the Electoral College."

Continue Reading

Breaking Banner

Georgia mayor being recalled for racism resigns from office: report

Published

on

Hoschton Mayor Theresa Kenerly resigned in a special city council meeting held on Saturday, the Atlanta Journal Constitution reported Saturday.

"The resignation came just days after Councilman Jim Cleveland resigned saying he‘d rather leave office on his own terms than face voters in a recall election next month," the newspaper reported. "Both resignations follow an AJC investigation launched seven months ago into claims that an African American candidate for city administrator was sidetracked by Mayor Theresa Kenerly because of his race."

Continue Reading
 

Breaking Banner

Nine 2020 Democrats unite to demand DNC Chair Tom Perez scrap debate rules: report

Published

on

The Democratic National Committee is facing a revolt for the party's 2020 presidential candidates for its restrictive debate rules.

"Nine Democratic presidential candidates, including the party's front-runners, are urging the Democratic National Committee to toss out the current polling and fundraising rules used to determine who appears in televised debates and reopen the exchanges to better reflect the historic diversity of the current field. The candidates say the rules exclude diverse candidates in the field from participating," CBS News reported Saturday evening.

Continue Reading