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‘Trump has turned off suburban voters’: Elections expert breaks down how Democrats can win the Senate

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Democrats have a “good to very good chance” of winning back the United States Senate in 2020 if they win the White House, an elections expert explained on MSNBC on Thursday.

Prof. Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia was interviewed by Lawrence O’Donnell on “The Last Word.”

“Where do you see the Democrats with their best chances for the Senate at this point?” O’Donnell asked.

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“Certainly Colorado. I would say any Democrat who’s nominated is probably going to be favored against the one-term Republican Sen. Cory Gardner,” Sabato replied. “Colorado really tipped into the Democratic column in 2008 and it’s never moved away. It’s become more Democratic.”

“Second would be Arizona, which you just mentioned,” he continued. “I would say even though it’s close and there’s an appointed Republican incumbent, Martha McSally, she lost the race for the other Senate seat in 2018. She was appointed here. I would give Democrats at least a slight edge there. [Mark] Kelly is a strong nominee.”

“Then, of course, you have Alabama. That’s the problem for the Democrats,” he said. “Doug Jones won against Roy Moore — of course, we all remember Roy Moore — and they may nominate him again, which would be the best thing possible for Democrats and the best thing possible for Doug Jones. Without him, it’s tough to hold that seat.”

“But there are others. You just mentioned Georgia. This is important. It’s a double-headed Senate election. We’ve had over a couple dozen of them in the hundred years that we have had elective Senate races and almost always, they go in the same direction,” Sabato explained. “You have to go back to 1966 to find one that split. And because we’re so polarized, Lawrence, they almost always go the way of the presidential election.”

“So if Democrats can nominate a strong candidate and capitalize on Trump’s relatively low ratings in Georgia, they could get two seats out of this, not just one,” he added.

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“So Georgia, if they picked up the two, that could really be the key to winning back control of the Senate right there,” O’Donnell noted.

“Let’s go to Maine quickly, too, Larry because Susan Collins doesn’t have good numbers in Maine for an incumbent, she’s got a 45% approval against a 48% disapproval. The president’s numbers in Maine are bad, 55% disapprove, 42% approval for Donald Trump in Maine,” he noted. “How about the Maine Senate race?”

“Absolutely,” Sabato replied. “It’s on the map, and it is a potential gain for Democrats, unless, as Susan Collins has before, she can find a path to separate herself from the Republican president without alienating his strong supporters. You know, good luck, this is going to be her toughest race ever, so yeah, that’s another potential pickup and it’s only going to happen if Democrats win the White House and they get vice president, too, to break a tie.

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“If you get the Democrats winning the White House, there’s a — I would say a good to very good chance that the Democrats will surprise a lot of people and take the Senate too,” he said.

“And in that case, they will actually have the White House, the Senate, and the House,” O’Donnell noted. “They would have real control, something they haven’t had for a while.”

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“Exactly,” Sabato replied.

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2020 Election

Trump shows all the signs of being ‘rattled’ now that the White House is under siege from protesters: columnist

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In a column for the Atlantic, longtime political observer Peter Nicholas stated that Donald Trump is showing all the signs of a scared man as massive protests have broken out across the country over the murder of George Floyd at the hands of four former Minneapolis cops -- and angry Americans are taking their case all the way up to the White House gates.

As Nicholas wrote, "Presidents live within a protective cocoon built and continually fortified for one purpose: keeping them alive. But inside the White House compound these days, Donald Trump seems rattled by what’s transpiring outside the windows of his historic residence."

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2020 Election

US military brought in to monitor police brutality protests in 7 states: leaked documents

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According to an exclusive report from The Nation, based upon Defense Department documents, U.S. military members are being dispatched to seven different states to monitor the activities of Americans who have taken to the streets to protest the death of George Floyd at the hands of four former Minneapolis cops.

The report, by the Nation's Ken Klippenstein, notes that states include, "Minnesota, where a Minneapolis police officer killed George Floyd, the military is tracking uprisings in New York, Ohio, Colorado, Arizona, Tennessee, and Kentucky, according to a Defense Department situation report," with the author pointing out, "Notably, only Minnesota has requested National Guard support."

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2020 Election

‘Insanity outside the White House’: After Trump stokes tensions, fresh clashes between police and protesters

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As protests against police violence and the killing of George Floyd continued in cities across the U.S. on Saturday, a massive crowd gathered outside President Donald Trump's White House as demonstrators again turned their ire and demands for justice and healing towards the nation's most powerful elected official. After tensions built, clashes erupted between law enforcement and demonstrators.

Tensions flared near the White House. Not sure what triggered it, all I saw was a blast of pepper spray and a sudden sprint backward. There’s a lot more pressure on the police cordon and they’re pulling out gas masks. pic.twitter.com/X4uCQRzPkw

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