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Why key Senate Republicans should be terrified as Trump drags the party down

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Incumbent Republican senators in swing states and blue states find themselves caught between a rock and a hard place. On one hand, criticizing President Donald Trump can result in a burdensome GOP primary battle; on the other hand, being perceived as pro-Trump can be the kiss of death in places where Trump is unpopular. And according to a report by Eli Yokley for Morning Consult’s website, things aren’t getting any better for incumbent GOP senators who are considered vulnerable in the 2020 election.

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Morning Consult releases its Senate Approval Rankings on a quarterly basis; the latest, Yokley notes, is “based on nearly 534,000 responses from registered voters collected July 1 through September 30.” And Yokley reports, “Republicans representing Colorado, Arizona, North Carolina, Maine and Iowa all saw their net approval — the share of voters who approve of a senator’s job performance minus the share who disapprove — decline between the second and third quarters of 2019.”

Trump is still popular in red states among his hardcore MAGA base. But swing states and — even worse for Republicans — blue states are where Trumpism has become a headache for Republican senators seeking reelection. And the bad news for GOP incumbents during that July 1-September 30 period includes declines of 9% for Sen. Joni Ernst of Iowa, 2% for Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, 3% for Sen. Cory Gardner of Colorado, 1% for Sen. Martha McSally of Arizona and 3% for Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina.

Yokley explained:

As split-ticket voting continues to decline, the latest rankings show Trump continues to be a drag on Republican incumbents. In Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina and Texas, Trump’s net approval with registered voters is worse than that of the incumbent Republican, by double digits in several cases.

Democratic strategists realize that trying to achieve a majority in the U.S. Senate in 2020 will be a heavy lift, but it isn’t out of reach. In order to retake the Senate, Democrats will need to flip at least four GOP-held seats while keeping all of the seats they are defending. If Ernst, Collins, Gardner and McSally all lost to Democrats and Democrats didn’t lose any seats, the Senate would be controlled by Democrats come January 2021 — and possibly, Sen. Chuck Schumer rather than Sen. Mitch McConnell would be the Senate majority leader.

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President helped ‘increase anti-Trump turnout’ in red-state governor’s races — which could spell disaster for the GOP

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President Donald Trump was once the Republican Party's greatest asset in an election, mobilizing thousands of supporters to rush to the polls. Recently, however, it seems he's now driving anti-Trump votes up so much that it may no longer be worth the Trump trouble.

“So you’ve got to give me a big win, please,” Trump told a Louisiana crowd this week before the GOP candidate lost the governor's race in a red state.

“What Trump did in Louisiana was increase voter participation. While he increased the pro-Trump turnout, he also increased the anti-Trump turnout. That’s kind of the lesson here,” polling analyst Ron Faucheux told The Washington Post in an interview.

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Ambassador Sondland was updating Trump officials on progress of ‘push for investigations’ — including Mulvaney

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The Wall Street Journal obtained emails showing that ahead of President Donald Trump's call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Ambassador Gordon Sondland was updating officials on the strive for investigations.

Chief of staff and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney was one of the main points of contact, and he replied to the email saying he would schedule the call with Zelensky.

“I talked to Zelensky just now. He is prepared to receive Potus’ call. Will assure him that he intends to run a fully transparent investigation and will ‘turn over every stone,’” Sondland wrote in an email on July 19.

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White House desperately scheduling things for Trump to do so he won’t watch the impeachment hearings

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donald trump on the phone

Given President Donald Trump worked to intimidate witnesses in real-time during the hearings on the impeachment inquiry last week, the White House is desperately searching for something that can keep him busy.

Axios reported Sunday, the presidential daily schedule will be designed to keep the president distracted with their own counter-programming.

"Trump's schedule for the coming week shows him governing," Axios reported. He'll be promoting jobs and talking about things like "art and culture."

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