Quantcast
Connect with us

Trump is in trouble — and a summer economic ‘rebound’ likely won’t save him: polling experts

Published

on

A report from Politico caused a stir on Tuesday morning, as it quoted Democratic economists and operatives who were nervous that President Donald Trump could benefit from a rapid economic recovery in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic.

However, polling experts Nate Silver and Harry Enten both poured cold water on the notion that a V-shaped recovery would be sufficient enough to lift the president above former Vice President Joe Biden, who has consistently led him in polls throughout the year.

ADVERTISEMENT

Enten pointed out that Trump has for the entire year led Biden in polling on who is more trusted to handle the economy — but it hasn’t mattered, as voters in polls still said they preferred the former vice president to the incumbent overall.

“I’m skeptical that a v-shape or checkmark-shape rebound will help,” Enten wrote.

Silver, meanwhile, said that even cutting the current unemployment rate by six percentage points over the next six months would leave Trump with a poor economy.

“It’s true that a partial recovery to 9% would be better for Trump than getting stuck at 15%,” Silver wrote. “But 9% is still quite high, and voters could also compare to 3.5% or wherever it had been before… The best strategy is therefore to use a broad basket of economic indicators over a broad range of time horizons. By that measure, voters’ assessments of the economy would likely still be fairly negative on balance by November even with a halfway recovery.”


Report typos and corrections to: [email protected].
READ COMMENTS - JOIN THE DISCUSSION
Continue Reading

2020 Election

Trump swamped with mockery for postponing his New Hampshire rally over ‘weather’: ‘Afraid of low turnout again? Sad’

Published

on

Donald Trump took to Twitter to explain that he has postponed his rally in New Hampshire on Saturday due to bad weather.  Reports in that the area show that the weather would be fine by the time the campaign event was scheduled to begin.

According to the president, whose last weather-related controversy ended with him using a Sharpie to alter an official National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration map, "With Tropical Storm Fay heading towards the Great State of New Hampshire this weekend, we are forced to reschedule our Portsmouth, New Hampshire Rally at the Portsmouth International Airport at Pease. Stay safe, we will be there soon!  #MAGA2020."

Continue Reading

2020 Election

Top Dem attorney mocks GOP chair after her ‘lie’ claiming ‘victory’ in mail-in vote case: ‘You dismissed your lawsuit’

Published

on

A top attorney who represents the DNC on Friday mocked Republican National Committee chairwoman Ronna McDaniel after she falsely claimed the GOP had scored a "major victory" against California Governor Gavin Newsom.

"Um, I don’t know how to break this to you…but you actually dismissed your lawsuit," Marc Elias, who also had served as general counsel to the Hillary Clinton 2016 presidential campaign, told McDaniel on Twitter.

Elias also suggested her staff might have been "too afraid" to tell her.

Um, I don’t know how to break this to you…but you actually dismissed your lawsuit. 🙄

Continue Reading
 

2020 Election

‘Mad King Trump’ is ignoring the COVID-19 crisis and ‘a lot more Americans are going to die’: Paul Krugman

Published

on

In an uncharacteristically blunt column for the New York Times, Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman declared President Trump "Mad King Donald" and said his refusal to take the coronavirus pandemic seriously will only lead to more needless deaths for at least the next six months.

Admitting that he feels like Americans, including himself, are trapped on the Titanic he described the president as "a madman who insists on steering straight for the iceberg" and those around him as being too fearful to take the wheel and avert disaster.

Continue Reading
 
 
You need honest news coverage. Help us deliver it. Join Raw Story Investigates for $1. Go ad-free.
close-image