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‘Trump is in a deep, deep hole’: Polling analyst breaks down brutal new 2020 numbers

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The New York Times on Wednesday released a brutal new poll showing President Donald Trump losing to former Vice President Joe Biden by 14 points — and one elections analyst thinks that it’s going to be very difficult for the president to overcome.

Reacting to the latest NYT/Siena College poll, Economist data journalist G. Elliott Morris argued that 14-point deficits are very hard to make up, and that Trump needs more than just a regular tightening of the polls to win.

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“Worth noting that while historically polling averages during June have predicted Nov outcomes with a margin of error close to 14 points on vote margin, June polls in the polarized era have a [margin of error] close to just 6,” he explained. “Trump is in a deep, deep hole and uncertainty alone won’t dig him out.”

Morris went on to say that even “if the 2020 race reverts to the mean, Biden is still up by 7-8 points and very likely handily winning the electoral college,” despite the president’s advantage in Rust Belt states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

“People keep saying the race will tighten, but it only seems to be getting worse for Trump,” he notes.

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2020 Election

Brad Parscale mocked over demotion: ‘Apparently there is a limit to how much you can grift’

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On Wednesday, President Donald Trump announced on Facebook that campaign manager Brad Parscale has been demoted, after several months of a reportedly rocky relationship and frustration from the president over his sinking poll numbers.

Commenters on social media buried Parscale in mockery over the news.

Irony: Brad Parscale just got demoted on Facebook. pic.twitter.com/HZ2jWVS5iJ

— The Hoarse Whisperer (@HoarseWisperer) July 16, 2020

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2020 Election

‘No silver lining, no encouraging trend for the president’: Pollster explains how Joe Biden is beating Trump by 15 points

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A polling analyst for the highly-regarded Quinnipiac Poll explained how former Vice President Joe Biden is beating President Donald Trump in the latest survey by a whopping 15 points.

"Independents are a key factor behind Biden's widening lead as they now back him 51 - 34 percent, while in June, independents were split with 43 percent for Biden and 40 percent for Trump," Quinnipiac reports. "There is also some movement among Republicans as they back Trump 84 - 9 percent, compared to 92 - 7 percent in June. Democrats go to Biden 91 - 5 percent, little changed from 93 - 4 percent in June. "

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2020 Election

Oklahoma governor tests positive for COVID-19 weeks after attending Trump’s Tulsa rally

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