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‘Stalling’ economic recovery could mean a ‘self-perpetuating recession’ as job losses mount: report

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President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago New Year's Eve Party (Photo: Screen capture)

America’s ongoing COVID-19 crisis could be harming the economic recovery of coronavirus shutdowns, according to a new report in The Washington Post.

“If there were still hopes of a ‘V-shaped’ comeback from the novel coronavirus shutdown, this past week should have put an end to them. The pandemic shock, which economists once assumed would be only a temporary business interruption, appears instead to be settling into a traditional, self-perpetuating recession,” David J. Lynch of the newspaper reported Saturday, citing job loses by United Airlines, Brooks Brothers filing for bankruptcy and the closure of hundreds of stores by Bed Bath and Beyond.

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The report noted Jared Kushner’s hopes “that by July the country’s really rocking again.”

The economic crisis could impact Trump’s re-election chances.

“After two surprisingly strong months, the economy could begin shedding jobs again this month and in August, Morgan Stanley warned Friday. Many small businesses that received forgivable government loans have exhausted their funds while some larger companies are starting to thin their payrolls in preparation for a longer-than-expected downturn,” The Post noted. “Fresh labor market weakness would represent a profound disappointment for millions of American workers and President Trump, who is eager to highlight economic progress with only a few months remaining before the November election.”

Jim O’Sullivan, the chief U.S. macro strategist for TD Ameritrade, said he’s describing the recovery as “stalling.”

“But the risk there is that the numbers start turning negative again,” O’Sullivan warned.

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There is risk of a downward spiral.

“In a worrisome sign, more than two months after states like Georgia lifted their shelter-in-place orders, layoffs are spreading beyond companies that provide services requiring direct human contact,” the report noted. “As disruption from the pandemic lingers, this could mean that the job loss is starting to feed on itself in a classic recessionary spiral, economists said.”

Read the full report.


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2020 Election

Trump-Biden race could hinge on how this one Florida county swings

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Betty Jones voted for President Donald Trump in 2016, but the lifelong Republican has her doubts she will do it again this year.

The federal response to the coronavirus pandemic that has killed about 200,000 Americans and forced older adults to restrict their activities has her contemplating a leadership change.

It “makes me unsure,” said Jones, 78, of Largo, in Pinellas County, Florida. Before COVID-19, she said, she would have definitely voted for Trump.

Polls show that many people will have the pandemic and its public health and economic consequences on their minds when they cast their votes — whether by mail or in person — this fall. Early in-person voting starts Oct. 19 in most Florida counties, including Pinellas.

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2020 Election

In first post-Ginsburg test, GOP wants Supreme Court to review Pennsylvania mail-in voting

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The GOP has asked the Supreme Court to review a Pennsylvania ruling that extends the mail-in voting deadline for the presidential election, a move that could lead to the court’s’ first test since the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, law experts say.Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court ruled last week that there will be a three-day extension for mail-in ballots as long as they’re postmarked by 8 p.m. on Nov. 3, Election Day. Previously, ballots were due when the polls close on Election Day, but the state’s Democratic Party filed a lawsuit to push back the deadline. Republicans have argued that exp... (more…)

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2020 Election

FBI warns of disinformation on US election day

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Washington (AFP) - The FBI and the main US cybersecurity agency warned Tuesday that provocateurs could take advantage of a slow vote count in the November 3 election to spread disinformation aimed at discrediting the results."Foreign actors and cybercriminals could create new websites, change existing websites, and create or share corresponding social media content to spread false information," around the election, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency said in a joint statement. Such actions could be attempts to discredit the electoral process... (more…)

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