With only days before the first presidential debate, President Donald Trump’s weakness among a key demographic that elected him in 2016 is haunting his re-election effort, according to a new analysis by CNN’s Harry Enten.
“President Donald Trump heads into the debate trailing former Vice President Joe Biden. Trump is the first incumbent to be losing in the polls at this point since George H.W. Bush in 1992,” Enten noted. “Trump’s obvious goal for the debate is to try and win back some of the white voters without a college degree that he’s clearly lost since 2016.”
Enten based his analysis on nine polls from eight pollsters that have been released since the convention.
“Trump is winning by about 21 points among Whites without a college degree in an average of those polls. That may seem like a lot, but remember that Trump led among this group by about 30 points in the final pre-election polls in 2016,” Enten explained. “Keep in mind, we’re making an apples-to-apples comparison here. Even if the polls are off by a similar margin as they were in 2016, this exercise takes that into account. There’s real movement going on here among Whites without a college degree.”
White voters without degrees make up the majority of voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — three states Trump narrowly carried in 2016.
“Not surprisingly, Biden’s position in these states has significantly improved from where Clinton ended up. He’s got a 5- to 7-point advantages in all of these states,” Enten noted. “We see similar big shifts toward Biden compared to Clinton in other key states in the region: Iowa and Ohio. Biden’s about even in Iowa and slightly ahead in Ohio, despite Clinton losing them by 9 and 8 points respectively. Again, both states have a lot of White voters without a college degree.”
“The question heading into the debates is whether Trump can do anything to knock those voters away from Biden. If he cannot, Biden’s likely to be the next president,” Enten concluded.
Biden continues to eat into Trump's edge among Non-College Whites. Doing ~10 pts than Clinton did in pre-election polls. Biden's best path right now clearly is one of two maps (Clinton states + MI + PA + WI or Clinton states + AZ + MI + NE-2 + WI)… https://t.co/qyZtROqLxS
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 26, 2020
‘Dangerously out of touch’: Ex-White House adviser slams Trump and Larry Kudlow for bragging about the economy
President Donald Trump's top economic and trade adviser Larry Kudlow is "out of touch," according to former White House economist Austan Goolsbee.
Speaking to MSNBC's Katy Tur, Goolsbee explained that Trump's celebration of the GDP is unwarranted because it took such a significant dive. It's a lot like losing $100 and getting back $60, said Tur.
"You score five runs in one inning, that is a good inning, but if you let up ten runs in the inning before that you're still way down," Goolsbee explained. "I think the numbers look very much like what happened in the job market over the summer. Where we started with a 21 million job loss, and we made back a little over half of that. And then we kind of stalled out. We're still adding jobs, but you also saw this morning another epically bad new unemployment claims number. You still have well over 700,000 people filing for unemployment insurance newly this week. Now we're seeing this on the GDP side. Certainly, this is a positive. You would not want a smaller number, but it has to be bigger and more sustained than what we saw today before we can say that we're back to normal."
Trump supporter ‘carried out on a stretcher’ as heat takes its toll on Tampa rally crowd: ‘Multiple people have passed out’
Medical personnel provided assistance to supporters of President Donald Trump during his Thursday rally in Tampa, Florida.
Reporters at the scene say that several people suffered heat related ailments.
"It’s hot hot hot at Trump’s large rally. 87 [degrees] and 71% humidity. Have noticed EMTs provide assistance for at least two people in the crowd, one carried out on a stretcher. Staffers trying get water bottles to people but quickly running out and having to restock," said Emily Larsen of Washington Examiner.
Trump’s latest convoluted Biden conspiracy is that he thinks Antifa is the same as the United States
It's difficult to understand the precise reasoning behind President Donald Trump's latest claim made at a Tampa, Florida rally on Thursday.
According to Trump, Biden once said that Antifa is an "idea" not an organization. Biden also said that America is an "idea." Ergo, Biden thinks the United States is Antifa.
It's the same logic used by first-semester philosophy majors: My dog's hair is blond. Trump's hair is blond. Therefore, my dog is president.
Biden speaks about America as not just a country, but a groundbreaking government that had never been attempted in the world when the country was founded.