Trump’s Supreme Court gambit is backfiring in Pennsylvania: NYT analysis
President Donald Trump arrives for a working dinner at The Parc du Cinquantenaire in Brussels, Belgium on Jul. 11, 2018. (Alexandros Michailidis /

On Monday, perThe New York Times, new polling came out in a critical swing state — and threw serious doubt on President Donald Trump's gamble to rush to fill a Supreme Court vacancy ahead of the election.

"On Saturday, Mr. Trump nominated Judge Amy Coney Barrett for the court seat and immediately flew to Pennsylvania to whip up support that night, speaking before a giant screen with the words 'FILL THAT SEAT!'" reported Trip Gabriel and Isabella Grullón Paz. "But that prospect — which the Trump campaign is counting on to shift the election dynamic away from the president’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic — has not reset the race there. On the contrary, 51 percent of voters in the passionately divided battleground state said they trusted Mr. Biden more to pick the next justice, whereas 44 percent said that about Mr. Trump."

Moreover, Trump was down decisively in the overall race, with Biden leading 49 to 40.

"Mr. Biden has not trailed in a public poll of Pennsylvania since June," said the report. "But his lead narrowed over the summer as the state trended back toward tossup status, evoking memories of Mr. Trump’s slim victory there in 2016. The president has virtually no path to a second term without Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes. Mr. Biden could afford to lose the state, but only if he runs the table in other northern battlegrounds that Democrats narrowly lost in 2016 and picks up Arizona."