Democrats are now ‘nearly 2:1 favorites’ to win the U.S. Senate in November: elections prognosticator
Composite image of Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME), Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ), Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO), Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) via screengrabs

Democrats have strengthened their position in the battle for control of the United States Senate, according to a new report by 538's Nate Silver.


"While we've all been focusing on the presidency, the Senate has moved out of toss-up range and Democrats are now nearly 2:1 favorites. A long way from a sure thing, but trending poorly for the GOP," Silver explained.

After running 40,000 simulations through his elections forecaster, Silver found Democrats running in 66% of scenarios, with Republicans only holding control in 34% of forecasts.

The forecast shows Democrats on pace to beat Susan Collins in Maine, Thom Tillis in North Carolina, Cory Gardner in Colorado and Martha McSally in Arizona.