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Trump’s re-election ‘in trouble’ as his base deserts him: Fox News polling analyst

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September 15, 2015, Donald Trump, 2016 Republican presidential candidate, speaks during a rally aboard the Battleship USS Iowa in San Pedro, Los Angeles, California (Photo by Joseph Sohm/Shutterstock)

“There’s an old adage in polling: ‘The incumbent gets what the incumbent is getting.’ It means that when analyzing polls, don’t look at the difference between the two candidates — just look at the incumbent’s number. That’s essentially where voters will land on Election Day,” Arnon Mishkin wrote in an opinion piece for Fox News Sunday. “The adage is based on the belief that voters have formed a fairly solid opinion about the incumbent, who is typically the better-known candidate. As for folks who say they’re undecided, they’ve usually decided that they’re not supporting the incumbent. But they haven’t thought enough yet to make a final decision. Once they do, they most likely wind up choosing the challenger.”

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In the case of incumbent president Donald J. Trump, “this year’s presidential race will certainly be one of the contests when the rule works. It’s basically a referendum on Trump.”

Current polling shows that although Trump received 55 percent of the vote in 18 states on Election Day 2016, he is now  pulling in 55 percent in only five of the 18. Add to that his trailing numbers in the top 10 states where he received the most support in 2016 and it’s a troubling scenario for the former reality star. The 10 states where Trump should be invincible are West Virginia, Wyoming, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Kentucky, Alabama, South Dakota, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Idaho. But he’s not. Except for Idaho where he’s up only by 2 percentage points, Trump is trailing his 2016 numbers between 5-10.5 percent.

“To be reelected, the president needs to continue to try to boost the turnout from his base,” Mishkin wrote. “That means focusing on his core populist messages of immigration and support for economic growth that made him the surprise winner of the 2016 presidential election.”


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2020 Election

Trump has 66 GOP endorsements ‘former national security and senior officials’ — who have no real experience: conservative

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In an election year, it is commonplace for candidates to list lengthy endorsements in an effort to showcase the trust, loyalty and earned respect by recognizable names and organizations. This year, the process is a bit different.

Democratic nominee Joe Biden is winning far more endorsements from national security professionals and retired flag officers — and by a large margin. The former vice president has the endorsement of 780 retired military officers and national security appointees — nearly 12 times as many as Trump. On the flip-side, Trump has a total of 66.

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2020 Election

Trump ‘abruptly’ storms out of 60 Minutes interview and refuses to return: report

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President Donald Trump was said to have "abruptly" ended an interview with 60 Minutes correspondent Leslie Stahl at the White House.

According to CNN correspondent Kaitlan Collins, the "drama" occurred on Tuesday afternoon.

"Apparently there was some drama while President Trump was taping his 60 Minutes interview today," Collins wrote on Twitter. "He abruptly ended his solo interview after around 45 minutes & did not return for a scheduled walk & talk he was supposed to tape with Pence, @abdallahcnn and I are told by sources."

Apparently there was some drama while President Trump was taping his 60 Minutes interview today. He abruptly ended his solo interview after around 45 minutes & did not return for a scheduled walk & talk he was supposed to tape with Pence, @abdallahcnn and I are told by sources.

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2020 Election

Donald Trump Jr.: Biden already had a chance to ‘fix’ racism because Obama is Black

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Donald Trump Jr. on Tuesday argued that former Vice President Joe Biden should have solved racial tensions when there was an African-American president.

At a campaign event in Pennsylvania, the president's son responded after a member of the audience called Biden a "racist."

"Well, he is," Trump agreed. "He was best friends with every segregationist ever to walk the halls of Congress."

"But he's going to fix those issues now, right?" he added sarcastically. "Now he's going to fix racial tensions in America. Why did you wait 47 years, Joe? You know, if you really cared, if you thought it was something you were going to campaign on, maybe you would have utilized, I don't know, your 38 years in the United States Senate."

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