Trump is still entangled in the Iranian war as key issue persists: analysis
Displaced people make their way back to their homes in southern Lebanon following a deal between the U.S. and Iran, in Sidon, Lebanon, June 15, 2026. REUTERS/Aziz Taher TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY

President Donald Trump celebrated a tentative 60-day ceasefire agreement with Iran Sunday, declaring, "Let the oil flow!"

Journalist Martin Pengelly, who previously worked for Raw Story as an investigations editor, warned the deal remains fragile and unresolved despite the President's celebratory spirit.

“Ultimately, as those who announced the deal said, it’s only a ceasefire, good for 60 days while yet more talks take place,” Pengelly wrote in an analysis published in Zeteo Monday.

Iran's core demandIsrael halt its bombardment of Lebanon— has been rejected by Israeli officials, who announced they will maintain military occupation of approximately 10% of southern Lebanon.

Members of Israel's government took to social media to express their opinions.

“Trump's agreement does not bind us,” wrote Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, according to an automatic English translation from Hebrew. Adding, "Israel is not subject to the United States, and we are an independent and sovereign nation!”

On an X post, Israel's Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich warned the Lebanese city of Dahiyeh, "For every shot fired toward our territory, ten buildings will fall.”

According to reports by Al Jazeera, since Israel invaded Lebanon, 3,750 people have been killed and 11,600 injured. According to reporting by Modern Diplomacy, the war also sparked a humanitarian crisis by displacing millions.

Pengelly characterized the agreement as merely a temporary ceasefire and not a peace treaty. He also claimed new hardliners emerged in the capital of Iran, Tehran, who are determined to make the U.S. suffer in response to the war, he writes.

With five days until a signing ceremony hosted in Switzerland, Israel's explicit refusal to comply threatens to unravel negotiations entirely.

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