The Bulwark's editor Jonathan V. Last argues President Donald Trump's deteriorating relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could inadvertently boost Vice President JD Vance's 2028 presidential ambitions.
A potential U.S. and Israel split could reshape the MAGA coalition, positioning Vance to appeal to both pro-war Republicans frustrated with surrender and America First isolationists skeptical of the Israeli relationship, argues Last. He also writes, Israel will become one of the big cleavages in the post-Trump GOP, with younger base members opposing continued American support while establishment MAGA remains pro-Israel.
Netanyahu faces a choice: embrace Trump's war-ending deal or break with the president.
Trump's criticism of Netanyahu, calling him crazy, in addition to his declining popularity in Israel, suggests a potential rupture, the author explains.
Last contends Vance could leverage any Trump-Israel schism by claiming ownership of the war's conclusion, positioning himself favorably with the Republican base despite his current difficult position.
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