All posts tagged "fed"

'An American disgrace!' Trump lashes out at 'one of the dumbest' people he hired

President Donald Trump kept up his pressure campaign against Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell.

Federal Reserve officials announced Wednesday they're keeping interest rates steady and indicated they're more concerned with rising inflation than slowing growth, and Trump dashed off a Truth Social post lambasting Powell for resisting his demand to dramatically cut rates.

"'Too Late' Jerome Powell is costing our Country Hundreds of Billions of Dollars," Trump posted Thursday at 10:04 a.m. EST. "He is truly one of the dumbest, and most destructive, people in Government, and the Fed Board is complicit. Europe has had 10 cuts, we have had none."

"We should be 2.5 Points lower, and save $BILLIONS on all of Biden’s Short Term Debt," the president added. "We have LOW inflation! TOO LATE’s an American Disgrace!"

The president touched on many of those same points the day before in a press event on the White House lawn, saying he had employed every tactic he could think of to pressure Powell into deeply cutting interest rates.

“I’m nasty, I’m nice – nothing works,” Trump told reporters.

Trump suggested that Powell "hates" him, but the committee’s statement and the chairman himself stated they were waiting to see how the president's tariffs impacted the economy later this summer before making cuts.

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Trump threatened to fire 'this idiot' Fed chairman unless he did his bidding: book

A new book written by former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross claims that former President Donald Trump was hellbent on axing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell unless he cut interest rates.

As Forbes reports, Ross writes that Trump summoned him to a meeting where he demanded that Ross set Powell straight about his policy of raising interest rates, which Trump believed was hurting the economy and his political successes.

"Please call this idiot and explain to him that I will repudiate his nomination, even though he has been confirmed," Trump said, according to Ross.

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Ross pushed back on Trump and said that he shouldn't be putting public pressure on the Federal Reserve, which is supposed to remain immune from political pressure.

Nonetheless, Ross agreed to talk with Powell and to try to convince him to reverse course on rate hikes.

Powell, however, was resistant to having a meeting.

“No—anything I say to you will just go back to Trump,” Powell told Ross, according to the book. “I have no obligation to debate with you and I am not going to do so."

Nonetheless, Powell did start pivoting away from rate hikes in the coming weeks and Wilbur wondered if efforts to pressure him were successful.

"Although the Ross conversation does not appear to have been previously reported, Trump did not hide his anger toward Powell," notes Forbes. "Throughout 2018 and 2019, the president mounted a very public pressure campaign against the Fed, urging the agency to 'Take the Victory' of a strong economy and blasting Powell as 'clueless.' Even after the Fed did, in fact, begin lowering rates in August 2019, Trump’s complaining didn’t stop."

U.S. Fed to meet amid dwindling hopes of summer rate cuts

WASHINGTON — The U.S. Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged later this week, as policymakers contend with a recent uptick in inflation that has sharply cut the chance of a summer start to interest rate cuts.

The Fed's decision to hike interest rates and then hold them at a 23-year high has helped to significantly lower elevated inflation, although it remains stuck firmly above the U.S. central bank's long-term target of two percent.

US Federal Reserve likely to lift interest rates to 22-year high

Washington (AFP) - The US Federal Reserve is poised to announce a fresh quarter percentage-point hike to its benchmark lending rate on Wednesday to tackle inflation, while keeping the option open for more such moves in the coming months. The Fed last month halted its aggressive campaign of monetary tightening after 10 consecutive rate increases to give policymakers more time to assess the health of the world's largest economy. At the June meeting, members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) nevertheless indicated they see possibly two additional interest rate hikes this ye...

U.S. Fed to balance banking woes, inflation in next rate decision

WASHINGTON (AFP) — U.S. central bankers face an unenviable task when they gather in Washington next week: tackling persistent inflation without adding to financial sector turmoil after Silicon Valley Bank's rapid collapse.

The Federal Reserve has raised rates eight times since last year in the face of decades-high inflation as it looks to cool the economy without tipping it into a recession.

While Fed Chair Jerome Powell earlier signaled willingness to speed up interest rate hikes if needed, most analysts and traders see a small rise of 25 basis points as the most likely outcome on Wednesday at the end of the Fed's two-day meeting.

A quarter-percentage-point hike would match the magnitude of the Fed's last increase in February.

With fears of contagion after the rapid failures of three midsized lenders earlier this month, a minority of observers also believe the Fed could halt its rate increases.

A catalyst for the demise of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was the Fed's quick shift from near-zero interest rates to steep hikes, a reversal that swiftly lowered the value of SVB's holdings linked to long-term US Treasury bonds.

Given the market turbulence, a bigger, 50 basis-point hike is now "off the table," Citigroup global chief economist Nathan Sheets said in an interview with AFP.

"My expectation is, it's going to be 25 but it's going to be a debate — and where markets are next Tuesday and Wednesday is going to be critical," he said.

From 50 basis points to zero

SVB's dramatic implosion this month was the largest banking failure since the 2008 financial crisis.

The failure of the California high-tech lender on March 10, and the collapse of New York's Signature Bank a few days later, sparked a rout in regional banking stocks and led many analysts to conclude that the Fed will abandon an anticipated increase in the pace of hikes.

Powell told senators earlier this month that it may be necessary to increase the benchmark lending rate to tame the "widespread" inflationary pressures keeping price rises elevated above the bank's long-run target of two percent.

Futures traders responded by pricing in a 50-basis-point rise, according to CME Group.

But the financial stress brought to light by SVB's failure caused a dramatic turnaround in expectations.

The strains in the financial sector will likely have weakened the Fed's resolve to move more aggressively on March 21 and 22, Bank of America US economist Michael Gapen said on Friday.

"We think recent events have changed the debate," he wrote in a note to clients. "We think the debate is now between a 25 (basis points) rate hike in March, or none at all."

Cooler data emerges

Data for February shows that some corners of the American economy are now beginning to contract -- which eases pressure on the Fed -- while the consumer price index measure of inflation slowed slightly to an annual rate of 6.0 percent.

US retail sales and wholesale prices slipped last month, providing some respite for the Federal Open Market Committee to consider when it mulls another interest-rate hike.

But the Fed's favored measure of inflation showed an annual increase in January, suggesting there is still a long way to go before price rises are brought back under control.

Turmoil in the banking sector is not over either, with many regional banks seeing their stocks plunge again at the end of the week despite intervention by US regulators and some of Wall Street's biggest banks.

"At a minimum, stress in financial markets suggests the Fed should proceed with caution," Bank of America's Gapen said.

SVB collapse causes headaches for US Fed before rate decision

Traders and analysts who previously predicted the Federal Reserve would increase the pace of hikes to tackle inflation have now dialed back expectations

Washington (AFP) - The dramatic implosion of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) last week could bring the Federal Reserve's current cycle of interest rate hikes to an end far sooner than many analysts expected. 

Traders and analysts who had previously predicted that the Fed would increase the pace of hikes to tackle inflation have now dialed back their expectations, with some saying the US central bank will hold its benchmark rate next week due to the troubles in the banking sector.

Last week's collapse of SVB and New York-based Signature Bank marked the biggest banking failures since the 2008 global financial crisis.

It has left the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in an unenviable position as it looks to tackle above-target inflation and hot economic data without adding to the ongoing rout of some banking stocks.   

Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo now predict the Fed will end its hiking cycle on March 22, while economists at JP Morgan and Oxford Economics see the FOMC voting for a smaller quarter-percentage-point hike.

Reducing contagion

America's top finance officials unveiled a series of measures over the weekend aimed at restoring confidence in the banking sector and settling turbulent markets. 

The Treasury, Fed, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation set out plans to ensure SVB's customers would be able to access all their deposits in the bank. 

Signature Bank would also be "made whole", they said in a joint statement on Sunday.

The Federal Reserve also introduced a new lending tool for banks to try and prevent a repeat of SVB's swift collapse, when a bad financial report led concerned customers to rapidly withdraw their funds, causing a liquidity crisis. 

But while the US has moved to protect customers' deposits, it won't be bailing out the bank's investors, President Joe Biden told reporters on Monday.

"They knowingly took a risk and when the risks didn't pay off, investors lose their money. That's how capitalism works," he said.

'Uncertain' situation

Sunday's announcement was well received by the financial markets, with the Nasdaq closing up 0.45 percent on Monday. 

But investors continued to shun banking stocks on Monday, and analysts remain concerned about the broader fallout from SVB's collapse.

"The rapid tightening in financial conditions alongside the uncertainty of the situation makes us lean toward the FOMC taking a pause from its hiking campaign at its upcoming meeting on March 22," Wells Fargo economists wrote in a recent note to investors.

Those leaning towards a 25-basis-point hike next week, such as JP Morgan's Michael Feroli, said the Fed should be able to tackle both the uncertainty in the financial markets and above-target inflation.

"If they indeed have used the right tool to address financial contagion risks (time will tell), then they can also use the right tool to continue to address inflation risks -— higher interest rates," he wrote to clients on Sunday. 

A 'close call'

As recently as Thursday, futures traders were predicting a return to a 50-basis-point rise, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

The expectations of a larger hike solidified after Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned on Wednesday that the US central bank was prepared to increase the pace of interest rate hikes in the face of "widespread" inflationary pressure.

But SVB's failure in the days that followed changed the calculus among traders.

The probability of a larger hike fell to zero on Monday, with most interest-rate futures traders now predicting a smaller hike, and a minority expecting no hike at all, calculated CME Group.

Growing concerns about the stability of the US financial markets means a 25-basis-point hike is now "slightly" more likely next week, Oxford Economics Lead Analyst John Canavan wrote in a note to clients on Monday.

"We have for now maintained our expectation for a 25bp hike at the March meeting but see this as a close call," Deutsche Bank economists wrote to clients on Monday, adding they would finalize their views "after observing this week's developments." 

US lawmakers reach deal on $900 bn stimulus package

Washington (AFP) - US lawmakers agreed on a nearly $900 billion Covid-19 relief package for millions of Americans on Sunday, in a deal that follows months of wrangling and comes as the nation battles the world's largest coronavirus outbreak. The package includes aid for vaccine distribution and logistics, extra jobless benefits of $300 per week, and a new round of $600 stimulus checks -- half the amount provided in checks distributed in March under the CARES Act. Months of partisan debate and finger-pointing, as well as last-minute negotiations, culminated in a deal lawmakers said they hoped t...

US lawmakers set to vote on virus stimulus deal: WSJ

Washington (AFP) - US lawmakers agreed on pandemic spending powers for the Federal Reserve late Saturday, the Wall Street Journal reported, clearing the way for a vote on a roughly $900 billion Covid-19 relief package for millions of Americans. The deal would maintain the central bank's ability to set up emergency lending programs without congressional approval, the Journal said, but the Fed would require approval to restart similar existing programs once they expire later this year. Republicans had sought to limit the Fed's ability to provide credit for businesses and other institutions, whil...

Federal Reserve holds course on lowered U.S. growth forecast

The Federal Reserve slashed its 2014 growth forecast for the US economy after the rough winter but kept policy on hold on Wednesday, showing faith in a modest rebound.

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New York Fed fired examiner who refused to go soft on Goldman Sachs: report

A version of this story was co-published with The Washington Post.

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