Trump’s non-college base collapses as GOP edge with key voters nearly disappears
U.S. President Donald Trump wears a 'Trump Was Right About Everything!' hat, as he makes an announcement on the 2026 FIFA World Cup, in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., August 22, 2025. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst

President Donald Trump is rapidly losing support from non-college-educated voters who powered his past victories, a collapse that now appears to be dragging down the Republican Party as well, according to CNN data analyst Harry Enten. Trump went from winning those voters by 14 points in 2024 to sitting nine points underwater in approval—a staggering 23-point swing just a year into his second term. Enten warned the damage is spilling into congressional politics, with Republicans’ once-dominant 13-point advantage among non-college voters shrinking to a razor-thin four points, even as Democrats surge among college-educated voters. The numbers, Enten said, signal serious trouble for both Trump and the GOP heading into November.

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Trump’s non-college base collapses as GOP edge with key voters nearly disappears Trump’s non-college base collapses as GOP edge with key voters nearly disappears