Should President Donald Trump decide to run for reelection in 2020, he may not be able to count on Iowa's six Electoral votes to keep him in office as voters there are turning on him after a controversial first year.
According to the Washington Post, Trump's poll numbers in the bellwether Midwestern state have collapsed, with the president only garnering a meager 35 percent approval rating and Republicans overall, a tick lower, at 34 percent approval.
Despite former President Barack Obama winning the state, Iowans turned on Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016, handing her only 41.7 percent of the vote -- but Democrats are seeing the tide turn in the second half on 2017.
On Aug. 8, the Democratic Party held a House seat in a special election in an Iowa district where Trump had won by 21.3 points. In December they fielded a candidate in a special state Senate race who lost by nine points in a district where the party didn't even run a candidate in 2010 or 2014 because it is considered so deeply Republican.
According to Janet Petersen, leader of Iowa's Senate Democrats, Trump's unpopularity is affecting Iowa Republicans across the board and his prospects in Iowa, should he run again, are dimming rapidly.
"If Trump were to run again, he'd be in deep trouble," Petersen explained. "A dog bites you the first time, it's not your fault. The second time it bites you, it's your own damn fault."
One issue that is dogging Trump is his promise to gut NAFTA which could have a devastating impact on Iowa farmers who depend on the commodities market.
Republican Governor Kim Reynolds, who replaced former Governor Terry Branstead after he was appointed U.S. Ambassador to China, has been forced to lobby the White House to slow down on NAFTA out of fears it would hurt the state's economy..
"Whenever we talk about pulling out, commodity prices are affected immediately, and that will be one of the first casualties that we'll see," Reynolds said at a Dec. 19 news conference. "So we're going to hold them accountable."
According to a Democrat who is running for governor, his party will make the recent GOP tax cut for the rich a central part of their message in 2018.
"They're going to see who the winners and losers are in this, and they're going to identify the corporations and wealthy people who came out way ahead of their families," state Senator Nate Boulton told the Post.