The Republican Party's strategy to hold onto their majorities in the 2018 midterm elections revolves around tying Democratic candidates to Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), the Democratic leader who overall suffers from poor polling numbers.
However, as CNN polling expert Harry Enten explains, Pelosi's unpopularity with the electorate doesn't look like it's going to translate into a massive voter swing toward the GOP.
In particular, Enten cites a new CNN poll showing that just 34 percent of registered voters say that Pelosi will be an important factor in their vote this year. Comparatively, 68 percent say that President Donald Trump will be a factor in their vote, while even greater percentages list issues such as health care (81 percent), corruption (74 percent) and gun policy (73 percent) as important factors.
What's more, Enten suggests that using Pelosi as a foil won't make up for Trump's popularity, which is still at historic lows compared to other presidents in recent history during this point in their first terms.
"Republicans, of course, want to make Pelosi an issue in order to try and counterbalance Trump's own bad numbers," he writes. "If this poll is correct, it simply isn't working. Voters say Trump is far more important to their vote than Pelosi. Twice the percentage of voters (68%) say Trump is extremely or very important than say the same about Pelosi (34 percent). When you break it down by party, majorities of Democrats (70 percent), Republicans (82 percent) and independents (58 percent) say that the Trump factor is extremely or very important to their vote this November."