Having already seen two California seats in the House of Representatives flip from Republican to the Democratic Party, GOP officials are faced with the prospect that four seats could be lost as vote tallying continues.
According to the Los Angeles Times, 40 percent or more ballots remain uncounted because Californians’ prefer to vote by mail, and those ballots could cause a swing for whichever candidate is currently leading.
The reports states, “The party has an exceedingly small chance of holding the seats of Reps. Dana Rohrabacher and Jeff Denham” with Republican Reps. Mimi Walters and Young Kim holding onto thin leads that could easily dissipate.
According to a polling analyst, late votes in California have a history of breaking towards Democrats by two points or more.
“This is as dependable as the tides,” said Paul Mitchell, president of Political Data.
Despite the changing numbers, some Republicans have already conceded their seats, including Rep. Steve Knight who lost his seat representing conservative Simi Valley and Santa Clarita to Democrat Katie Hill.
“The voters have spoken, and they want a new congressman — or congresswoman — for this district,” Knight said in a statement. “We wish her the best.”
Adding to the loss of the seat formerly held by San Diego’s Darrell Issa to Democrat Mike Levin, the Times reports, ” If Rohrabacher loses in Orange County’s 48th Congressional District and Denham cedes San Joaquin Valley’s 10th, Republicans would be left with just 10 of the state’s 53 seats in the House.”
“Republicans’ nightmare scenario for the midterm would be the ouster of Walters in the 45th Congressional District, which covers Irvine, Mission Viejo and Rancho Santa Margarita, and a defeat for Kim in the 39th, which includes Yorba Linda, Hacienda Heights and Fullerton,” the Times explained, adding, “If Rohrabacher, Walters and Kim all lose, it would mark the first time since the 1930s.”
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