Quantcast
Connect with us

Republicans facing ‘a five-alarm fire’ in suburban districts they’ll need in 2020

Published

on

Republicans won a narrow victory in Tuesday’s special election in North Carolina, but their chances of retaking the House next year look bleak.

More than a dozen GOP lawmakers are retiring as President Donald Trump’s unpopularity sinks even lower, with a possible recession on the horizon, and Republicans are headed into their annual retreat in a gloomy mood, reported Politico.

ADVERTISEMENT

“I see an easy path for 12 pickup seats,” said Rep. Mark Meadow (R-NC), head of the conservative House Freedom Caucus. “It’s the last six that will be tough, and that actually runs through California. If we don’t pick up any in California, it will be virtually impossible.”

Trump will join House Republicans in Baltimore for their three-day retreat buoyed by Dan Bishop’s narrow win in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District, but they recognize signs are ominous heading into 2020.

Bishop eked out a 2-point win in a district Trump won by 12 points in 2016, but he performed dismally in the suburbs that turned against GOP candidate in last year’s midterms.

“This is like a five-alarm fire for Republicans in prosperous suburbs,” said Dave Wasserman, the House editor for the Cook Political Report. “[The GOP] averted disaster, but there’s nothing in the results to persuade House Republicans who are sitting on the fence about running for reelection that they are any likelier to take back the majority.”

ADVERTISEMENT

The GOP is hoping to hold on to 35 House seats in districts that are even less reliably Republican than Bishop’s, and the party is losing its only black House member and two of its 13 women.

Most of those retirements have come from deeply red districts, but at least three of those races have become more competitive with the loss of GOP incumbents.

“We consistently have a lot more turnover than the Democrats, and that’s been the case when we’re in the majority or the minority,” said Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA), whose Washington roommate Rep. John Shimkus (R-IL) is among the retirements. “We have a real opportunity to win the majority back.”

ADVERTISEMENT

The wild card remains the economy, which has shown signs of falling into recession before next year’s election.

“The stronger the economy, the better it will be for the president and Republicans,” said Rep. Lee Zeldin (R-NY). “If the economy is not going well, I guess it depends on how so, which factors of the economy aren’t going well.”

Republicans remain publicly confident the economy will hold strong through the election, but political analysts say they’re in trouble either way.

ADVERTISEMENT

“In both 2018 and last night, House race results have been highly correlated with Trump’s approval ratings,” Wasserman said. “It’s unlikely that [Republicans] win back control of the House either way. Right now, I would put the chances at somewhere between 25 and 35 percent.”


Report typos and corrections to: [email protected].
READ COMMENTS - JOIN THE DISCUSSION
Continue Reading

Breaking Banner

Republican leader accidentally confesses to Trump’s quid pro quo with Ukraine

Published

on

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) seemed to accidentally confess that there was a "quid pro quo" between President Donald Trump and Ukraine when he spoke to CNN reporter Manu Raju.

Raju asked McCarthy about Ukraine Ambassador Bill Taylor's testimony that Trump delayed all Ukraine military aid until President Volodymyr Zelensky announced he would do a probe into former Vice President Joe Biden.

“There was no quid pro quo - it is not and no one has ever said in there it is a quid pro quo,” insisted McCarthy.

But in his next comment, McCarthy seemed to indicate he was confused what the "quid pro quo" actually means in this situation and who was responsible for it.

Continue Reading

Breaking Banner

Sondland is done trying to defend Trump after he was outed by Ukraine ambassador: associate

Published

on

European Union Ambassador Gordon Sondland spent a lot of time trying to downplay the testimony from Ukraine Ambassador Bill Taylor. But after Taylor, who kept detailed notes, gave specifics about their conversations, Sondland has abandoned trying to defend President Donald Trump.

Politico wrote Wednesday that it was Taylor who raised questions about whether Trump confessed to withholding military aid in exchange for an international investigation of Trump's political rivals.

Continue Reading
 

Breaking Banner

‘Be very scared’: GOP lawmaker warns Americans that they could be impeached too

Published

on

Rep. Earl Leroy "Buddy" Carter (R-GA) fearmongered against the impeachment inquiry during remarks to reporters on Wednesday.

"Ladies and gentlemen, if a government can do this to the President of the United States, they can do this to you as well," he argued.

Under the United States Constitution, only people who work for the federal government can be impeached, with the penalty being the loss of their job.

Still, Carter argued that Americans should be terrified of being impeached themselves.

"You need to be scared," Carter warned. "You need to be very scared."

https://twitter.com/stillgray/status/1187085576354201600

Continue Reading
 
 
Help Raw Story Uncover Injustice. Join Raw Story Investigates for $1 and go ad-free.
close-image