According to a strategy paper compiled by former President Bill Clinton’s highly regarded political director, Donald Trump has an uphill battle to stay in the Oval Office after the coronavirus pandemic and associated fall-out upended his campaign’s re-election plans.
As reported by Axios, Doug Sosnik, “whose ‘big thinks’ are eagerly awaited by political insiders and activists alike” has surveyed the 2020 election landscape as does not see any upside for the president despite his ability to fire up his rabid base.
As Sosnik sees it, voters will be turning out in November for what he calls the “coronavirus election” which will be a referendum on the president’s response to the pandemic that may still be ongoing and has already led to close to over 70,000 America deaths.
Noting that country is already deeply divided along partisan lines, Sosnik said “Trump’s campaign will try mightily to make the election about a choice between him and Joe Biden. But given the political landscape, it will likely come down to a referendum on Trump’s presidency.”
Sosnik explains that there are three factors that are working against Trump’s favor: ” 1) Sen. Bernie Sanders, the presumed nominee in back then, won’t be his opponent … 2) Trump’s failure to prepare for and manage the pandemic … 3) The resulting economic crater.”
Add to that, Trump is faltering badly in the key battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
“Early polls of registered voters in those states show Biden performing very well against Trump,” the report states. “Midwestern states, Michigan and Pennsylvania in particular, have been really hard hit by the crisis.”
“Given the critical role that Trump’s job approval and the economy will play, there’s a real question whether the campaign will affect the arc of the race in a significant way,” Axios reports Sosnik explains, “Past presidential re-election campaign outcomes, and extensive academic research, suggest that the answer is not much.”
In summary, the political analyst concluded, “Trump based his entire presidency on appealing to his base, focusing on the strength of the economy — which has now collapsed.”
You can read more here including the complete document with supporting graphs.
Trump accused by ex-Defense Secretary of putting US on ‘the trail toward a dictatorship’
During an appearance on CNN on Friday morning, former Defense Secretary William Cohen - who also served in the U.S. Senate as a Republican -- denounced Donald Trump in no uncertain terms, saying his use of military personnel against anti-police brutality protesters is a sign he has set the country on the path to a dictatorship.
To emphasize his point, he later called Trump the "dictator-in-chief."
Speaking with host Jim Sciutto, Cohen didn't mince words after the CNN host noted that the president and his former attorney called the protesters "terrorists."
"What does it mean for you to hear a sitting president dismissing a whole range of protesters, who in fact were largely peaceful around the White House, dismissing a whole range of them as terrorists? What does that mean to you?" the CNN host asked.
Trump ‘crossed the line’ with the military this week — leading retired officers to revolt: former general
Appearing on CNN's New Day with host John Berman, retired Lt. Gen. Douglas Lute explained that Donald Trump finally went a bridge too far this week with retired military officials when his administration deployed military police to turn on peaceful protesters in a Washington D.C. park.
Speaking with the host, Lute -- who also served as U.S. ambassador to NATO -- said tension between the president and military officials has gradually increased over the past three and a half years, but that the past week's incidents led to a "tipping point."
After host Berman read off a list of high profile ex-military officials who have either criticized Trump or defended their former colleagues from attacks from the president, Lute was asked what had changed.
Trump is bleeding support from the only voters who have stuck with him since 2016
President Donald Trump is losing support from his evangelical base as he lurches from one crisis into another.
Numerous polls show that religious Americans, like most other Americans, disapprove of the president's performance, and that could imperil his re-election chances, reported the New York Times.
Nearly 80 percent of white evangelicals -- a group that's already shrinking as a share of the electorate -- approved of Trump's performance in March, but his handling of the coronavirus pandemic has bled 15 points from their support, according to a new poll from Public Religion Research Institute.