Quantcast
Connect with us

Trump is down to only two paths to victory in November: election-modeling historian

Published

on

President of the United States Donald Trump speaking with supporters at a "Keep America Great" rally at Arizona Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Phoenix, Arizona. (Gage Skidmore)

On Saturday’s edition of CNN’s “Smerconish,” American University history professor Allan Lichtman, whose election-modeling system based on 13 “key” factors predicted President Donald Trump’s win in 2016 and now predicts former Vice President Joe Biden will defeat him, discussed the two possible ways he believes — contrary to his model — that Trump could potentially turn things around and manage a victory.

ADVERTISEMENT

“The keys are in granite. He has seven keys against him. It takes six to predict the loss of the incumbent White House party,” said Lichtman. “However, there are two things outside the realm of the keys or any prediction system, Michael, that keep me up at night.”

“One is voter suppression,” said Lichtman. “Look, Trump depends on old white guys like me. Can’t manufacture more old white guys. That’s the most shrinking part of the electorate. But you can try to make it hard for the rising Democratic base of minorities and young people. We heard your earlier speaker [Trump campaign official Hogan Gidley], who is sowing fear and confusion. But, Michael, he never answered your question about what the Trump administration is doing, if anything, to make this a full and fair vote.”

“Second thing that keeps me up at night is Russian intervention,” said Lichtman. “We know they’re back. They learned a lot in four years. They may even try to get into the registration rolls this time. We know for certain, just as in 2016, Donald Trump will welcome and exploit any Russian intervention on his behalf. So the keys are set. We live in such an uncertain world. There’s an old Chinese saying, some call it a curse: ‘May you live in interesting times.'”

Watch below:


Report typos and corrections to: [email protected].
READ COMMENTS - JOIN THE DISCUSSION
Continue Reading

Breaking Banner

Canadian woman behind the poison sent to Trump

Published

on

A letter was intercepted containing the poison ricin when it was on the way to President Donald Trump. Now some facts about the person who sent it are being known.

CNN.com reported Sunday that it was a woman from Canada who was also trying to cross into New York state from Canada, law enforcement explained.

She was also carrying a gun and was arrested by law enforcement. She's expected to face charges in Washington, DC, the report said.

Trump's approval globally has dropped significantly over his term in office, and he's taken the opinion of the U.S. along with him.

Continue Reading

2020 Election

‘This is for the people to decide’: Jaw-dropping CNN supercut lays bare the GOP’s stunning hypocrisy on SCOTUS

Published

on

As the battle over replacing Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg — who died Friday from complications of pancreatic cancer — takes shape in Washington, D.C., Republican senators who previously refused to hold a vote on former President Barack Obama’s Supreme Court pick are now having their words thrown in their faces.

CNN anchor Anderson Cooper on Saturday played a devastating supercut that features Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), and Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) explaining why they would not vote on Obama’s nominee to replace Justice Antonin Scalia in 2016.

Continue Reading
 

2020 Election

‘How is that not a failure?’: Trump health official called out by CNN’s Tapper over COVID-19 debacle

Published

on

Admiral Brett Giroir was put on the spot on Sunday morning by CNN host Jake Tapper over the failure of the White House to still take the coronavirus pandemic seriously, and then ended up receiving a dressing down from the "State of the Union" host.

Noting the lack of masks at recent Trump rallies and the growing death toll of COVID-19 victims, Tapper exclaimed, “How is this not a failure, and how is President Trump leading us out of it in the right way, according to your own words?”

Girior attempted to explain that  “people are empowered to know that they can slow the spread and change the course, they can save lives by doing the things we talk about, wearing a mask.”

Continue Reading
 
 
Democracy is in peril. Invest in progressive news. Join Raw Story Investigates for $1. Go ad-free. LEARN MORE