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Trump’s refusal to try and woo independents will cost him the election: CNN polling analyst

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(AFP / MANDEL NGAN)

According to CNN polling analyst Harry Enten, the good news for Donald Trump is that he is picking up more Republican voters than he did in 2016 as the November election looms.

Now for the bad news: Trump is also driving up — at a greater rate — Democratic voters who will be turning out for former Vice President Joe Biden on November 3rd while also driving away many of the independent voters who helped him win in 2016.

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Using a new Quinnipiac University national poll that shows Biden with a 52% to 42% lead over Trump nationally, Enten said the devil is in the details where Trump’s inability — or refusal — to reach out beyond his rabid base is illustrated by how voters across the spectrum are making their intentions known.

As Enten explained, “The problem for Trump is that in his efforts to appease the base, he has lost his ability to appeal to those outside of it. If Trump ends up losing, it’ll be because his gains with the Republican base have not been offset by his losses among other voters.”

As the analyst points out, Trump has increased his lead with Republicans 3 points compared to 2106 when he ran against Hillary Clinton, which would be encouraging if it weren’t for the fact that independents are fleeing Trump in large numbers.

“He [Trump] was up 7 points with independents in Quinnipiac’s poll four years ago. Today, Trump’s down with independents by 8 points. Trump’s deficit among Democrats has ballooned from 84 points to 94 points in Quinnipiac’s polling,” he wrote before adding, “These are bad trades for Trump given there are more Democrats and independents than there are Republicans in the electorate.”

Taken together, Trump should be pursuing expanding his base if he was any hope of winning in November, but as Enten points out — noting the president’s recent shenanigans including rushing to fill Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s seat with the exceedingly conservative Amy Coney Barrett: “If Trump wants to make a comeback in 2020, chances are he’ll have to retake some of the ground he’s lost outside of his base. Based on his actions this far into the campaign, Trump seemingly has no interest in doing that.”

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2020 Election

Brett Kavanaugh revised his Wisconsin ruling after Vermont official’s demands — but it still contains the lies

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Supreme Court Justice revised his Wisconsin opinion after a Vermont official complained that he misrepresented the way the state dealt with the election amid the pandemic. The problem, however, is that his corrections only cleaned up the sloppy language.

While it no longer appears like a high school mock trial assignment, it still lies about the example he gave in the Vermont details.

https://twitter.com/Jordan_S_Rubin/status/1321628261714190336

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2020 Election

‘You’re free to go’: CNN’s Lemon tells Trump after president spends weeks complaining about going to rallies

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President Donald Trump has spent the last several days at rallies complaining about how much he hates being there and how much he hates being president.

CNN's Don Lemon played clips of the rally airing of grievances.

"I probably bottom be standing out here in the freezing rain with you," Trump complained while in Lansing, Michigan. "I would be home in the White House doing whatever the hell I was doing. I wouldn't be out here."

"We win Wisconsin, we win the whole ball game," Trump told a crowd in Janesville, Wisconsin last week. "What the hell do you think I'm doing here on a freezing night with 45-degree wind? What do you think? Do you think I'm doing this for my health? I'm not doing this for my health."

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2020 Election

Trump’s new favorite X-ray doctor is retweeting demands Dr. Fauci debate him

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President Donald J. Trump selected radiologist Scott William Atlas as his newest health care policy advisor on the White House Coronavirus Task Force this past August after a public fallout with immunologist Dr. Anthony Fauci. The two scholars could not be any more different on their approach to mitigating the pandemic, which has so far killed over 227,000 Americans.

"If we get a vaccination campaign, and by the second or third quarter of 2021 we have vaccinated a substantial proportion of the people, I think it will be easily by the end of 2021, and perhaps even into the next year, before we start having some semblances of normality," Fauci said recently during a University of Melbourne panel.

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