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Trump’s refusal to try and woo independents will cost him the election: CNN polling analyst

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(AFP / MANDEL NGAN)

According to CNN polling analyst Harry Enten, the good news for Donald Trump is that he is picking up more Republican voters than he did in 2016 as the November election looms.

Now for the bad news: Trump is also driving up — at a greater rate — Democratic voters who will be turning out for former Vice President Joe Biden on November 3rd while also driving away many of the independent voters who helped him win in 2016.

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Using a new Quinnipiac University national poll that shows Biden with a 52% to 42% lead over Trump nationally, Enten said the devil is in the details where Trump’s inability — or refusal — to reach out beyond his rabid base is illustrated by how voters across the spectrum are making their intentions known.

As Enten explained, “The problem for Trump is that in his efforts to appease the base, he has lost his ability to appeal to those outside of it. If Trump ends up losing, it’ll be because his gains with the Republican base have not been offset by his losses among other voters.”

As the analyst points out, Trump has increased his lead with Republicans 3 points compared to 2106 when he ran against Hillary Clinton, which would be encouraging if it weren’t for the fact that independents are fleeing Trump in large numbers.

“He [Trump] was up 7 points with independents in Quinnipiac’s poll four years ago. Today, Trump’s down with independents by 8 points. Trump’s deficit among Democrats has ballooned from 84 points to 94 points in Quinnipiac’s polling,” he wrote before adding, “These are bad trades for Trump given there are more Democrats and independents than there are Republicans in the electorate.”

Taken together, Trump should be pursuing expanding his base if he was any hope of winning in November, but as Enten points out — noting the president’s recent shenanigans including rushing to fill Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s seat with the exceedingly conservative Amy Coney Barrett: “If Trump wants to make a comeback in 2020, chances are he’ll have to retake some of the ground he’s lost outside of his base. Based on his actions this far into the campaign, Trump seemingly has no interest in doing that.”

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2020 Election

A fake ‘intelligence firm’ crafted the groundwork for the Trump conspiracy theories about Hunter Biden

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It's unclear why President Donald Trump and his allies have chosen to attack Vice President Joe Biden's last living son as a key tenant to the 2020 reelection instead of focusing on his opponent himself. But according to a well-researched NBC News report by Ben Collins and Brandy Zadrozny, the "documents," actually came from a fake person that never existed using a profile photo created by an artificial intelligence face generator.

Months ago, there was a fake "intelligence" document about Hunter Biden that popped up online along with tons of "files" from a supposed laptop. None of it was real and it has all been dismissed by Trump's own associates as fake. But now it's being revealed that the company behind the effort was a fake "intelligence firm" called Typhoon Investigations, researchers and public documents revealed.

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2020 Election

Glenn Greenwald resigns from The Intercept over Biden article

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Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Glenn Greenwald said Thursday he had resigned from The Intercept after the US investigative media outlet refused to publish his article critical of Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.

Greenwald, one of the first journalists to report on the Edward Snowden documents on US mass surveillance, said he was leaving the website he started in 2014 with two other journalists.

"The final, precipitating cause is that The Intercept's editors, in violation of my contractual right of editorial freedom, censored an article I wrote this week, refusing to publish it unless I remove all sections critical of Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden," Greenwald said in a blog post.

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2020 Election

Closing ad for ‘Republican Voters Against Trump’ celebrates ‘countless’ number of videos ridin’ with Biden

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The final ad from Republican Voters Against Trump has been posted by the group celebrating the "countless" numbers of video submissions they got from those talking about why they've abandoned President Donald Trump.

Flashes of Republican faces filled the screens saying that they were Republicans and that they simply can't bring themselves to vote for Trump.

"The guy that's in there now is a slow-moving train-wreck and guess what? We're all on the train," one man said.

There was a string of comments from people angry that Trump has torn their family apart and fostered the division and hate between Americans.

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